输电投资崩溃

G. Gross
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摘要

最近世界上许多地方发生的大量停电事件充分表明,输电网络是重组后的电力业务中最薄弱的环节。随着电力行业的分拆重组,新的参与者,如经纪人、营销商和独立电力生产商,以及新的结构,如独立电网运营商(IGO),已经被引入,并导致了输电系统运营和规划的新范式。新结构中的分散决策、大量新参与者、网络上交易数量的激增以及输电系统的使用方式与计划和设计的方式明显不同,这些都导致了输电网的严重压力。这导致了频繁的拥塞情况,用户争夺稀缺和严重受限的传输服务。此外,尽管许多现有的和新的参与者对电网的利用更加密集,但对输电网络的投资未能跟上对输电服务日益增长的需求。在竞争激烈的市场中,改善和扩大电网以及可靠地维护现有电网的投资需求得到了很好的满足,只有极少数例外。输电投资的缓慢是由许多因素造成的,但一个主要因素是新设施的受益者和出资者之间的严重不匹配,这往往阻碍了投资的进行。迫切需要建立有效的程序,以确保及时收回输电投资。换句话说,投资者需要适当的市场激励来扩大和改善电网。此外,整合许多可再生能源项目和各种分布式能源的需求,包括即将增长的电池汽车人口,对现有电网的扩展施加了巨大的压力。与此同时,立法和监管环境也在迅速发展,以认识到影响该行业的多方面变化的现实。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The transmission investment debacle
The numerous blackouts experienced recently in many parts of the world make amply clear the fact that the transmission network is the weakest link of the restructured electricity business. With the unbundling of the electricity industry under restructuring, new players, such as brokers, marketers and independent power producers and new structures such as the Independent Grid Operator (IGO) and have been introduced and have led to new paradigms for the operation and planning of the transmission system. The decentralized decision making in the new structure, the large number of new players, the proliferation in the number of transactions on the networks and the markedly different utilization of the transmission system than in the way it was planned and designed have all contributed to the severe stressing of the transmission grid. This has resulted in frequent congestion situations with customers competing for the scarce and heavily constrained transmission services. Moreover, despite the more intense utilization of the grid by the many established and new players, investments in the transmission network have failed to keep pace with the increasing demand for transmission services. The need for investment to improve and expand the grid and to reliably maintain the existing network has been met poorly under competitive markets, with very few exceptions. The sluggishness of transmission investment is caused by numerous factors, but a principal one is the substantial mismatches between those benefiting from the new facilities and those paying for them are often such as to prevent the investments from being made. There is an acute need to set up effective procedures to ensure the timely recovery of transmission investments. In other words, investors need appropriate market incentives to expand and improve the grid. Moreover, the need to integrate the many renewable energy projects and the various distributed energy resources, including the soon-to-grow population of battery vehicles are exerting huge pressures on the expansion of the existing grid. At the same time, the legislative and regulatory climate has been rapidly evolving to recognize the realities of the multi-faceted changes impacting the industry.
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