威慑能持续下去吗?街道照明随机实验的长期证据

IF 3.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY
David Mitre-Becerril, Sarah Tahamont, Jason Lerner, Aaron Chalfin
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引用次数: 3

摘要

几个世纪甚至上千年以来,街道照明一直是社会在公共安全方面最普遍的资本投资之一。Chalfin等人(2021)最近的研究——第一个研究街道照明对公共安全影响的随机实验——表明,在纽约市的公共住房开发中,战术街道照明干预导致在新灯推出后的6个月内夜间严重犯罪活动减少了36%。但这种影响会持续下去吗?在这项研究中,我们使用3年的结果数据来检验同样的街道照明干预的长期影响。我们表明,光照干预的影响会持续一段时间。关键的是,这种干预减少了犯罪,但最终没有导致更多的逮捕。由于街道照明需要大量的前期资本投资,因此增强照明对政策制定者的吸引力主要取决于其公共安全效益能否长期持续。这些发现提供了一些保证,即街道照明的影响可以持续到最初安装之后。因为照明干预在没有增加逮捕人数的情况下减少了犯罪,它没有通过扩大刑事司法系统的网络来减少犯罪。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Can deterrence persist? Long-term evidence from a randomized experiment in street lighting

Research summary

For centuries and even millenia, street lighting has been among the most ubiquitous capital investments that societies have made in public safety. Recent research by Chalfin et al. (2021)—the first randomized experiment that studies the effect of street lighting on public safety—demonstrated that a tactical street lighting intervention in New York City's public housing developments led to a 36% reduction in serious criminal activity during nighttime hours in the 6 months after the new lights were rolled out. But do the effects endure? In this study, we examine the longer-term effects of the same street lighting intervention using 3 years of outcome data. We show that the effects of the lighting intervention persist over time. Critically, the intervention reduced crime without eventually leading to a larger number of arrests.

Policy implications

As street lighting requires a large up-front capital investment, the attractiveness of enhanced lighting to policy makers depends critically on whether its public safety benefits will be long lasting. These findings provide some assurance that the impact of street lighting can endure beyond their initial installation. Because the lighting intervention reduced crime without increasing the number of arrests, it did not reduce crime by widening the net of the criminal justice system.

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来源期刊
Criminology & Public Policy
Criminology & Public Policy CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
6.50%
发文量
41
期刊介绍: Criminology & Public Policy is interdisciplinary in nature, devoted to policy discussions of criminology research findings. Focusing on the study of criminal justice policy and practice, the central objective of the journal is to strengthen the role of research findings in the formulation of crime and justice policy by publishing empirically based, policy focused articles.
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