气象参数对喀麦隆中部地区雅温德瓦尔市肺结核分布的影响

S. Tchatchouang, Anne-Laure Tchokote Wetewale, J. Tedom, Emmanuel Tekwu Mouafo, L. K. Sidze, Jean-Paul Assam-Assam, V. P. Beng
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引用次数: 1

摘要

结核病仍然是一个主要的健康问题,特别是在喀麦隆中部地区,雅温得市的患病率仍然很高。气候已被证明对结核病的分布有影响。本研究旨在评估结核病通报与某些气象参数之间可能存在的关联。对雅温得Jamot医院一年内(2010年4月至2011年3月)连续检测的结核病患者的每日、每周、每月和季度结核诊断结果汇总进行分析(Microsoft excel和SPSS)。在研究期间,雅温得Jamot医院共登记了665名结核病患者。周平均湿度和温度与肺结核病例相关,Pearson相关系数分别为0.291和-0.342,但相关性较弱。对于关系大小,结核病病例的8.5%和11.7%的方差分别可以用周平均湿度和温度来解释。泊松回归预测,随着每周湿度的增加,结核病病例会增加,结果p值小于0.001,具有统计学意义。每周气温每下降一次,肺结核病例就会减少12.1%。然而,降雨对结核病通报没有影响,尽管大多数病例是在雨季记录的,而季节性指数随时间而变化。简而言之,结核病通报显示与两个气象参数有关:平均环境温度和相对平均湿度。最高峰出现在雨季的6月份。这项工作的数据可能有助于国家结核病控制规划根据多年来记录的结核病通报对结核病变化进行建模,以便为更好的疾病控制干预策略找到一个指标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Meteorological Parameters on Distribution of Pulmonary Tuberculosis in the City of Yaoundé, Centre Region of Cameroon
Tuberculosis remains a major health problem and particularly in the Centre Region of Cameroon where prevalence is still high in the city of Yaounde. Climate has been proved to have impact on tuberculosis distribution. This study aimed at assessing possible association of TB notifications with some meteorological parameters. Daily, weekly, monthly and quaterly aggregates of tuberculosis diagnosis results for consecutive tuberculosis patients tested over one year (April 2010 until March 2011) at Jamot Hospital of Yaounde were analysed (Microsoft excel and SPSS). A total of 665 tuberculosis patients were enrolled at the Jamot Hospital of Yaounde during the study period. Weekly mean humidity and temperature were related to tuberculosis cases with respectively Pearson correlation coefficients of 0.291 and -0.342 even though the relation was weak. For the relationship magnitude 8.5% and 11.7% of the variance in tuberculosis cases were explained by weekly mean humidity and temperature respectively. A Poisson regression predicted more tuberculosis cases following weekly increase of humidity, a statistically significant result with p ˂ 0.001. There was 12.1% decrease in the number of tuberculosis cases for each decrease of temperature per week. However, rainfall had no impact on tuberculosis notifications even though most cases were recorded in rainy season while seasonal index changed over time. In short, tuberculosis notifications showed to be associated to two meteorological parameters: mean ambient temperature and relative mean humidity. The highest peak was in the month of June during the rainy season. Data from this work may contribute to the National Tuberculosis Control Program to model tuberculosis variation from recorded tuberculosis notifications since years in order to find an indicator for better intervention strategies for disease control.
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