不确定概率与斯密和凯恩斯的不确定性

M. E. Brady
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引用次数: 0

摘要

斯密、凯恩斯和奈特依次对强调不确定性和不确定概率的决策做出了开创性贡献,而不是单纯的不精确。一旦在不精确概率和不确定概率之间划出明确的界限,德菲内蒂关于不确定性的观点就与史密斯、凯恩斯和奈特的观点截然相反。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Indeterminate Probabilities and Smithian and Keynesian Uncertainty
Smith, Keynes, and Knight, in that order, made seminal contributions to decision making which emphasized uncertainty and indeterminate probabilities, as opposed to mere imprecision.De Finetti’s views on uncertainty are diametrically opposed to those of Smith, Keynes, and Knight once the clear cut distinction is drawn between imprecise probabilities and indeterminate probabilities.
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