自主武器系统,不对称战争和神话

Michał Klincewicz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人们通常认为,对自主武器系统(AWS)的预测会引发恐惧,而这种恐惧驱动了所有关于物质中蕴含智慧的神话。其中一种观点是,科技可能会失控,最终导致可怕的后果,就像玛丽·雪莱(Mary Shelley)的经典小说《弗兰肯斯坦》(Frankenstein)中的情况一样。考虑到这一点,对AWS的预测有时会被斥为科幻小说中的恐慌。本文考虑了自动空战与其他武器系统之间的几种类比,并最终提出了一个论点,即核武器及其对现代不对称战争发展的影响是引入自动空战的最佳类比。最后一节着重于这个类比,并对AWS被黑客攻击的可能后果进行了推测。这些猜测巧妙地借鉴了流行小说(如《弗兰肯斯坦》)中关于技术和人工智能的神话和比喻,以预测部署AWS的风险和收益的令人信服的模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Autonomous Weapon Systems, Asymmetrical Warfare, and Myth
Predictions about autonomous weapon systems (AWS) are typically thought to channel fears that drove all the myths about intelligence embodied in matter. One of these is the idea that the technology can get out of control and ultimately lead to horrifi c consequences, as is the case in Mary Shelley’s classic Frankenstein. Given this, predictions about AWS are sometimes dismissed as science-fiction fear-mongering. This paper considers several analogies between AWS and other weapon systems and ultimately offers an argument that nuclear weapons and their effect on the development of modern asymmetrical warfare are the best analogy to the introduction of AWS. The fi nal section focuses on this analogy and offers speculations about the likely consequences of AWS being hacked. These speculations tacitly draw on myths and tropes about technology and AI from popular fi ction, such as Frankenstein, to project a convincing model of the risks and benefi ts of AWS deployment.
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