基于Fama-French模型的新冠肺炎疫情对服装行业影响研究

Ruofan Shi, Dongchen Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在新冠肺炎疫情期间,美国政府和美联储(fed)为了拯救经济,启动了激进的货币模拟计划。当前的资本市场波动较大,难以预测。在这样一个特殊时期,资本资产定价工具显得更为重要。本文采用Fama-French五因素模型,对2019年7月至2020年11月美国服装行业进行了分析,分为疫情前和疫情后两个时期。进行的回归分析包含五个系数因子,每个系数因子对应于新冠疫情后服装行业的特定属性。市场因素表明,服装行业受到新冠疫情的负面影响。中小企业表明小企业对投资者更有利。HML表明价值股更受青睐。RMW表明投资者倾向于寻找盈利能力较高的公司,而CMA表明服装行业的变化很小。建议关注市值小、账面市值高、盈利能力稳定的公司。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on the Impact of Covid-19 to the Clothing Industry based on Fama-French Model
During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve started a radical monetary simulation plan to save the economy. The current capital market experiences more fluctuation and are more unpredictable. Capital asset pricing tools are more important at such a special time. This article uses the Fama-French five-factor Model and analyzes the clothing industry in the United States from July 2019 to November 2020, separating into pre and post pandemic periods. The regression analysis performed contains five coefficient factors, and each corresponds to a specific property of the clothing industry after Covid-19 emerged. The market factor indicates that the clothing industry is negatively affected by the pandemic. SMB shows that small businesses are more favorable to investors. HML indicates that value stocks are more preferred. RMW shows that investors tend to look for companies with higher profitability, whereas CMA indicates a minimal change to the clothing industry. It is recommended that more attention should be paid to the companies with small-cap, high BM ratio and stable profitability.
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