大衰退期间和之后的货币策略:欧洲央行vs国家统计局

Stefan Stojkov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

过去几十年世界经济结构的特点是,在最初不同的金融市场呈指数级相互联系的背景下,全球趋同的趋势。随着贸易和金融一体化的加深,以国家为导向的货币政策面临着严重的障碍和限制,因为它更容易受到外部危机冲击的影响。这一分析的重点是,面对2008年大衰退(Great Recession)引发的相同外部冲击,欧洲央行和国家统计局采取了不同的货币应对措施。主要研究结果表明,两种货币体系都应依赖于考虑到当前宏观经济健康状况的自由裁量政策。与对全球经济衰退的货币反应相比,分析表明,对COVID-19危机的反应在欧洲央行的情况下仍然忠于非正统措施,而在国家统计局的情况下则无关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
MONETARY STRATEGIES DURING AND AFTER THE GREAT RECESSION: ECB VS NBS
The last few decades of the world economic structure have been characterized by a trend of global convergence in the context of the exponential interconnectedness of initially divergent financial markets. With deeper trade and financial integration, nationally oriented monetary policy is confronted with serious obstacles and limitations, having in mind higher vulnerability to the external crisis shocks. The focus of this analysis is the heterogeneous monetary responses of the ECB and the NBS to the same external shocks induced by the Great 2008 Recession. The main findings suggest that both monetary systems should rely on discretionary policy taking current macroeconomic health into account. In contrast to the monetary responses to the Global Recession, the analysis shows that the reactions to the COVID-19 crisis remained faithful to unorthodox measures in ECB’s case but unrelated in NBS’s case.
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