非加性概率的共频造书

Enrico Diecidue, P. Wakker
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文展示了de Finetti的造书原理,通常用于证明附加的主观概率,可以修改以同意一些非预期的实用新型。更准确地说,提出了一种基于制书原理的共单调扩展的等级依赖模型的新基础。只有当所有被考虑的赌博通过其相关结果的有利性诱导出相同的自然状态排序时,并且允许非加性概率,该扩展才排除了造书。等级依赖、回避、歧义厌恶、悲观和乐观等典型特征可以被适应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comonotonic Book-Making with Nonadditive Probabilities
This paper shows how de Finetti's book-making principle, commonly used to justify additive subjective probabilities, can be modi-ed to agree with some nonexpected utility models.More precisely, a new foundation of the rank-dependent models is presented that is based on a comonotonic extension of the book-making principle.The extension excludes book-making only if all gambles considered induce a same rank-ordering of the states of nature through favorableness of their associated outcomes, and allows for nonadditive probabilities.Typical features of rank-dependence, hedging, ambiguity aversion, and pessimism and optimism, can be accommodated.
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