乌克兰战后社会经济恢复:背景、机会和前景

Yevheniy Redzyuk
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It has been proven that only technical\nnon-refundable assistance, reparations, the transfer of the seized assets of the\naggressor, grants and other non-loan funds, together with clear actions to restore\ninfrastructure, will lay the foundation for a renewed economy in Ukraine and will\nbe able to quickly return the vast majority of the population to permanent places\nof residence and work. The world community, international organizations, leading\ncountries of the world and their political leaders currently fully support Ukraine\nand this opportunity must be seized. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目标是在考虑到相关资源和机会的情况下,为战后乌克兰社会经济环境的最佳和快速恢复提供实用和科学的方法建议。研究方法包括:历史研究、制度结构研究和比较研究(了解战后重建的成功经验);专题分析(研究战后社会经济领域快速恢复的各种有效措施的应用);统计和经济分析(当评估军事行动的损失时,当形成可持续和有效的经济更新的成本时,当考虑不同层次的战后复兴战略时:最优,最小,扩展)。科学的新颖性——据透露,国内社会经济领域的恢复状态和速度在很大程度上取决于事先准备好的国际和国内机构,以及恢复资金的形式和数量。事实证明,只有技术上的不可退还的援助、赔偿、转移侵略者被没收的资产、赠款和其他非贷款资金,以及恢复基础设施的明确行动,才能为乌克兰的新经济奠定基础,并使绝大多数人口能够迅速返回永久居住和工作地点。国际社会、国际组织、世界主要国家及其政治领导人目前全力支持乌克兰,必须抓住这个机会。然而,如果不执行一项以体制一致性和效率为基础的迅速更新和恢复基础设施的战略,也存在人员、工业、技术、基础设施和国内科技潜力丧失的重大风险。作者建议提前建立一个全面的立法、制度、外交、财政和投资支持,并提供适当的战略优先事项,以成功恢复乌克兰并使其融入欧盟。乌克兰目前面临的挑战(破坏造成的重大损失和人员伤亡)是存在的,也是极其复杂的。因此,只有通过全面的方式和国际伙伴关系,战略性地计算资源和机会,才能克服它们。为此,在已经处于战争阶段的乌克兰,有必要为新的机构和有效的机制奠定基础,以便迅速恢复社会经济领域和在质量上更适应现代挑战的社会市场经济。关键词:战后社会经济复苏,战后市场经济的复苏,战后经济复苏的有效机制,世界经济和军事冲突后的复苏
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Post-war socio-economic restoration of Ukraine: background, opportunities and prospects
The goal of this article is to develop practical and scientific methodological recommendations for the optimal and rapid restoration of the socio-economic environment of Ukraine in the post-war period, taking into account the relevant resources and opportunities. Research methodology includes: historical, system-structural and comparative studies (to understand the successful experience of reconstruction after the war); monographic analysis (when studying the application of various effective measures for the rapid recovery of the socio-economic sphere after the war); statistical and economic analysis (when assessing losses from military operations, when forming the cost of a sustainable and effective renewal of the economy, when considering the strategy of post-war revival at different levels: optimal, minimal, extended). Scientific novelty – it was revealed, that the state and speed of restoration of the domestic socio-economic sphere significantly depends on international and domestic institutions prepared in advance, as well as on the form of financing for restoration and the amount of such financing. It has been proven that only technical non-refundable assistance, reparations, the transfer of the seized assets of the aggressor, grants and other non-loan funds, together with clear actions to restore infrastructure, will lay the foundation for a renewed economy in Ukraine and will be able to quickly return the vast majority of the population to permanent places of residence and work. The world community, international organizations, leading countries of the world and their political leaders currently fully support Ukraine and this opportunity must be seized. Nevertheless, there are also significant risks of loss of personnel, industrial, technological, infrastructural and scientific and technical domestic potential without the implementation of a strategy for rapid renewal and infrastructure recovery based on institutional coherence and efficiency. Author proposed to create in advance a comprehensive legislative, institutional, diplomatic, financial and investment support with appropriate strategic priorities for the successful restoration and integration of Ukraine into the EU. Conclusions. The existing challenges for Ukraine (significant losses from destruction and human casualties) are existential and extremely complex. Therefore, they can only be overcome in a comprehensive manner and in international partnership, having strategically calculated resources and opportunities. For this, in Ukraine, already at the stage of the war, it is necessary to lay the foundation for new institutions and effective mechanisms for the rapid revival of the socio-economic sphere and a social market economy that is qualitatively more adapted to modern challenges. Key words: post-war socio-economic recovery, the revival of a market economy after the war, effective mechanisms for economic recovery after the war, the world economy and recovery from military conflicts.
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