捕获能源风险溢价

Adrian Fernández-Pérez, Ana‐Maria Fuertes, J. Miffre
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了能源期货风险溢价可以通过多空组合来提取,这些组合利用了不同合约在各种特征或信号及其整合方面的异质性。根据对冲压力假说和储存理论的预测,投资者可以通过利用与对冲者的净头寸和滚动收益率特征相关的能源期货合约风险,分别获得每年约8%和12%的可观溢价。同时,利用不同的信号,通过不同的加权方案进一步提高了溢价。尤其值得一提的是,将所有信号同等加权的风格整合投资组合最为有效。这些发现对于交易成本、数据挖掘和分时期分析都是稳健的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capturing Energy Risk Premia
This paper studies the energy futures risk premia that can be extracted through long-short portfolios that exploit heterogeneities across contracts as regards various characteristics or signals and integrations thereof. Investors can earn a sizeable premium of about 8% and 12% per annum by exploiting the energy futures contract risk associated with the hedgers’ net positions and roll-yield characteristics, respectively, in line with predictions from the hedging pressure hypothesis and theory of storage. Simultaneously exploiting various signals towards style-integration with alternative weighting schemes further enhances the premium. In particular, the style-integrated portfolio that equally weights all signals stands out as the most effective. The findings are robust to transaction costs, data mining and sub-period analyses.
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