评估冠状病毒对非洲的社会经济影响

Benedict Azu, Esther Dibie, Shadrack Ifeanyi, Emeke Okoro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

迫在眉睫的冠状病毒健康冲击可能会对非洲大陆本已紧张的卫生系统造成灾难性影响,并可能迅速演变为社会和经济紧急情况。因此,本文打算评估冠状病毒对非洲经济的影响。(使用其增长含义)基于内生增长理论方法,使用GMM分析技术对32个选定的非洲国家的预期寿命、贫困发生率和经济增长之间的联系进行了估计。调查结果表明,冠状病毒对非洲的社会经济形势和宏观经济变量(如通货膨胀、失业率、贫困率和经济增长等)产生了负面和重大影响。结果确定,在此期间,政府支出大幅增加,以遏制流行病,但家庭福利下降,贫困率高,受到负面影响。该文件建议,非洲各国政府应使其经济收入基础多样化,以缓冲这一流行病造成的前所未有的冲击的影响,并提供充足的救济物资,以弥补穷人和弱势群体收入损失的影响,支持实施结构改革,使它们能够建设能力,并产生足够的国内资源或财政缓冲,以有效地管理这一流行病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing The Socio-Economic Impact of Coronavrius in Africa
The looming health shock of coronavirus could have disastrous impacts on the continent’s already strained health systems, and could quickly turn into a social and economic emergency. This paper, therefore, intends to assess the effects of coronavirus on Africa economies. (using its growth implication) Based on the endogenous growth theoretical approach, the link between life expectancy, poverty incidence, and economic growth was estimated using the GMM technique of analysis with 32 selected Africa countries. Findings showed that coronavirus exhibited negative and substantial impact on socio-economic situation and macroeconomic variables in Africa such as inflation, unemployment, poverty rate and economic growth, amongst others. The result ascertained that the government expenditure significantly increased during the period in a bid to curb the pandemic, but household welfare degenerated and was negatively affected with high poverty rate, this paper recommended that the government of the Africa countries should diversify the revenue base of their economies to cushion the effect of unprecedented shock due to the pandemic and provide adequate relief materials to pad the effect of loss of income to the poor and vulnerable, support in the implementation of structural reforms to enable them to build capacity and generate sufficient domestic resources or fiscal buffers to effectively manage pandemics.
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