气候变化、环境退化和经济增长如何影响巴基斯坦的作物生产?

I. Chaudhry, A. R. Aslam, Fatima Farooq, Muhammad Faheem
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引用次数: 3

摘要

气候变化已成为本世纪最紧迫的问题之一。气候变化是一个严重的全球威胁,在德国观察全球气候风险指数中,巴基斯坦在最易受气候变化影响的国家名单中排名第八。二氧化碳(CO2)是导致环境退化的首要因素,其数量的增加似乎引发了这一问题。以农业为基础的经济一直依赖于变幻莫测的自然和气候。本文分析了1977 - 2016年气候变化、环境退化、投入指数和经济增长对巴基斯坦作物生产的影响。我们的研究采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)来检验变量之间的长期关联。结果表明,从长期来看,气候变化与作物产量呈正相关。为了取得成果,决策者必须通过国际研究机构的援助,促使人们注意采用利用农业实践的先进种植过程,从而进一步改善巴基斯坦的作物生产。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How do Climate Change, Environmental Degradation and Economic Growth affect CropsProduction in Pakistan?
Climate change has become one of the most imperative problems of this century. Climate change is a grave global threat, and Pakistan has been ranked eighth on the list of countries most vulnerable to climate change by the German watch Global Climate Risk Index. The increasing amount of carbon dioxide (CO2), the foremost contributor to environmental degradation, seems to provoke this problem. Agriculture-based economies have always been dependent on the vagaries of nature and climate. Present study analyses the climate change,  environmental degradation, input index and economic growth impact on crops production in Pakistanfrom 1977 to 2016. Our study employsAuto Regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) to check the long run association among the variables. The results shows that positive association among climate change and crops production in the longrun.On the behalf of results policymakers must drive attention to adopt advanced cultivation processes using farming practice through international research institutions' assistance to further improve crops production in Pakistan.
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