欧洲存款(再)保险计划的宏观经济效应

M. Clemens, Stefan Gebauer, Tobias König
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引用次数: 1

摘要

虽然欧洲银行业联盟的前两大支柱已经实施,但欧洲存款保险计划(EDIS)仍未到位。为了便于引入再保险计划,最近的提案主张建立一个再保险计划。在本文中,我们使用一个具有银行违约和银行-政府联系的制度切换开放经济DSGE模型来评估这种方案的相对效率。我们发现,国家财政支持和EDIS的再保险在稳定宏观经济方面都是有效的,尽管EDIS的福利收益略大,并且财政再保险下的债务与gdp之比上升。我们证明了EDIS的风险加权贡献对存款人来说是福利有益的,并讨论了决策者在实施EDIS期间面临的权衡。在一个反事实的练习中,我们发现EDIS将稳定德国和欧元区其他国家的经济活动,就像金融危机期间对保险存款的财政支持一样。然而,如果采用EDIS,债务占gdp的比例会更低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Macroeconomic Effects of a European Deposit (Re-) Insurance Scheme
While the first two pillars of the European Banking Union have been implemented, a European deposit insurance scheme (EDIS) is still not in place. To facilitate its introduction, recent proposals argue in favor of a reinsurance scheme. In this paper, we use a regime-switching open-economy DSGE model with bank default and bank-government linkages to assess the relative efficiency of such a scheme. We find that reinsurance by both a national fiscal backstop and EDIS is efficient in stabilizing the macro economy, even though welfare gains are slightly larger with EDIS and debt-to-GDP ratios rise under the fiscal reinsurance. We demonstrate that risk-weighted contributions to EDIS are welfare-beneficial for depositors and discuss trade-offs policy makers face during the implementation of EDIS. In a counterfactual exercise, we find that EDIS would have stabilized economic activity in Germany and the rest of the euro area just as well as a fiscal backing of insured deposits during the financial crisis. However, the debt-to-GDP ratio would have been lower with EDIS.
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