脱碳电力系统最优发电组合的定义

Vladan Ristić, Miljan Žikić, D. Vujanović, I. Trkulja, Ognjen Mijušković
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摘要

在过去的十年中,环境趋势的发展导致了对电力系统的看法的改变,其中对能源生产部门进行了最多的调整,其中由火力发电厂所占据的角色被风能和太阳能发电厂所取代。然而,这种变化遭到了一定程度的怀疑,这些发电厂发电能力的可变性和它们日常生产图表的波动通常被列为反对大规模整合这些来源的论据。然而,人们忽略了这样一个事实,即日生产图表取决于能源的类型,因此,举例来说,风能和太阳能发电厂的图表并不相同。因此,这些机组的日最小和最大发电量不会同时出现,因此,两个电厂的统一图表将比它们各自的图表显示更少的振荡。变化减少的程度将取决于电厂装机容量的比例。因此,本文将分析由风能和太阳能发电厂提供的测试系统,并考虑两种类型的太阳能电池板(单面和双面)。这些来源的总装机容量将保持不变,但它们在这一数量中的份额将有所不同,以便确定总生产能力在年度水平上变化最小的单个装机容量的比例。作为变化减小的指标,将选择总小时生产功率与其年平均值的最小均方差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Definition of the Optimal Generation Mix in Decarbonized Power System
The development of the environmental tendencies in the previous decade led to the alteration of the way in which the perspective of the power systems is seen, where the largest number of adaptations was made to the sector of energy production, in which the role that was occupied by the thermal plants was taken over by the wind and solar plants. However, this change was met with a dose of scepticism, where the variability of the generation power of these plants and the oscillations in their daily production diagram were commonly listed as the arguments against the massive integration of these sources. What was neglected, nonetheless, is the fact that the daily production diagram depends on the type of the source, so the diagrams of the wind and solar plants, for instance, are not identical. Hence, the daily minimums and maximums of generation power of these units would not occur simultaneously, so the unified diagram of both plants would show less oscillations than their individual diagrams. The level of the variations’ reduction would depend on the ratio of the installed capacities of the plants. Therefore, the paper will contain analysis of the test system supplied from the wind and solar plants, with two types of solar panels (monofacial and bifacial) considered. The total installed capacity of these sources will be kept constant, but their share in this amount will be varied in order to define the ratio of the individual installed capacities for which the variations of the total production power on a yearly level is minimal. As the indicator of the variations’ reduction, the minimal mean square deviation of the total hourly production powers from their yearly average will be selected.
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