基于主观博弈模型的恐怖主义根源分析

Dehai Liu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

当前,国际恐怖主义在全球蔓延,其成因是经济贫困、国际政治冲突、宗教和民族矛盾、东西方文化和价值观差异等复杂因素。博弈论为各种冲突与合作问题提供了合适的工具,但在固定外部环境的基本假设下,传统博弈论和进化博弈论难以分析动态复杂环境中的恐怖主义根源。本文运用主观博弈模型分析了环境变化中恐怖主义产生的根源和条件,包括经济全球化背景下对南北差距的敏感程度、贫困地区经济社会发展前景、发展中国家和发达国家应对全球贫困的项目。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Terrorism Root Cause Analysis Based on Subjective Game Model
Currently, international terrorism is overrunning allover the word that's induced by the very complex factors such as economic poverty, international political conflict, religion and national contradiction, culture and value difference between Western and Eastern. Game theory provides a suitable tool for the various conflict and cooperative problems, but under the basic hypothesis of fixed exterior environment, traditional game and evolutionary game theories are difficult to analyze the terrorism root in the dynamic complex environment. The paper uses subjective game model to analyze the terrorism root and generating condition in the changing environment, there are including the sensitive degree about the North-South gap under the background of economic globalizations, the economy and social developing foreground in depressed area, the responsive projects for the global poverty among the developing countries and developed countries.
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