利用ARIMA模型预测黄金价格

D. Nanthiya, S. B. Gopal, S. Balakumar, M. Harisankar, S.P. Midhun
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引用次数: 1

摘要

世界上最有价值的金属是黄金。这是最抢手的商品。使用机器学习算法和方法研究和预测每日黄金价格和未来黄金价格。由于黄金市场的多因素和非线性结构,黄金价格受到市场状况、经济危机、油价上涨、税收优惠、利率等多种外部变量的影响,是无法预测的。使用机器学习来提高某些类型活动的性能。它用于预测金融变量,重点是股票而不是大宗商品。它侧重于如何利用数据集和统计分析进行预测。使用基于集成的机器学习方法,如线性回归,ARIMA模型,随机森林回归。这些预测来自黄金价格的数据集。性能测量是MAE和RMSE。线性回归值分别为19.82、24.41。ARIMAA模型分别为0.040、0.046,随机森林模型分别为0.150、0.156。结果表明,ARIMAA模型的预测值具有较高的精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Gold Price Prediction using ARIMA model
The most valuable metal in the world is gold. It is the most sought-after commodity available. The study and forecasting of the daily gold price rate and the future gold price rate using machine learning algorithms and methodologies. Due to the multifactorial and nonlinear structure of the gold market, it is impossible to anticipate the gold price, which is influenced by a variety of external variables like marketing conditions, economic crises, oil price rate hikes, tax benefits, and interest rates. Using machine learning to enhance the performance of certain types of activities. It is used to the forecasting of financial variables, with an emphasis on equities rather than commodities. It focuses on how predictions are made utilising datasets and statistical analysis. Using ensemble-based machine learning methods such as Linear Regression, ARIMA Model, Random Forest Regression. The predictions are derived from a dataset of gold price rates. The performance measurements are MAE and RMSE. In Linear Regression values are 19.82,24.41. ARIMAA model 0.040, 0.046 and Random Forest is 0.150, 0.156. The results suggest ARIMAA model predict value in high accuracy.
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