开尔文和地球的年龄

J. Halls, D. Wilkie
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引用次数: 9

摘要

因为,在地球的自然史中,我们看到了一系列的世界,我们可以由此得出结论:自然界中存在着一个体系;就像我们看到行星的公转,就可以得出这样的结论:有一个系统,它们是按照这个系统来继续这些公转的。但是,如果世界的演替已经在自然体系中确立了,那么在地球的起源中寻找更高的东西是徒劳的。因此,我们目前研究的结果是,我们找不到开始的痕迹,也找不到结束的前景。——詹姆斯·赫顿,《地球理论》,1788年“我认为我们很有可能会说,这种巩固不可能发生在2000万年前,或者我们应该拥有比我们实际拥有的更多的地下热量,而不是超过4亿年前,或者我们不应该有这么多的地下温度的最小观测增量。——威廉·汤姆森爵士(开尔文勋爵),《论地球的长期冷却》,1862年。我不会对那些杰出的数学家所做的计算的准确性有丝毫的怀疑,这些数学家提出了我所引用的建议。相反,我的论点有必要假设他们都是正确的。但我想指出的是,这似乎是许多情况中的一个,在这些情况中,公认的数学过程的准确性被允许给它们得到的结果带来一种完全不可接受的权威表象。数学可以比作一台做工精巧的磨机,它可以磨出任何精细程度的材料;但是,不管怎样,你得到什么取决于你投入了什么;就像世界上最大的磨坊不会从豌豆中提炼出小麦粉一样,一页又一页的公式也不会从松散的数据中得到明确的结果。——托马斯·亨利·赫胥黎,1869年在地质学会的演讲。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Kelvin And The Age Of The Earth
‘For having, in the natural history of this earth, seen a succession of worlds, we may from this conclude that there is a system in nature; in like manner as, from seeing revolutions of the planets, it is concluded, that there is a system by which they are intended to continue those revolutions. But if the succession of worlds is established in the system of nature, it is in vain to look for anything higher in the origin of the earth. The result, therefore, of our present enquiry is, that we find no vestige of a beginning, – no prospect of an end.’ James Hutton, Theory of the Earth, 1788. ‘I think we may with much probability say that the consolidation cannot have taken place less than 20,000,000 years ago, or we should have more underground heat than we actually have, nor more than 400,000,000 years ago, or we should not have so much as the least observed underground increment of temperature.’ Sir William Thomson (Lord Kelvin), On the Secular Cooling of the Earth, 1862. ‘I do not presume to throw the slightest doubt upon the accuracy of any of the calculations made by such distinguished mathematicians as those who have made the suggestions I have cited. On the contrary, it is necessary to my argument to assume that they are all correct. But I desire to point out that this seems to be one of the many cases in which the admitted accuracy of mathematical processes is allowed to throw a wholly inadmissible appearance of authority over the results obtained by them. Mathematics may be compared to a mill of exquisite workmanship, which grinds you stuff of any degree of fineness; but, nevertheless, what you get out depends on what you put in; and as the grandest mill in the world will not extract wheat-flour from peascods, so pages of formulae will not get a definite result out of loose data.’ Thomas Henry Huxley, Address to the Geological Society, 1869.
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