俄中亚太合作与安全

Александр Лукин, В. Б. Кашин
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引用次数: 1

摘要

作者认为,俄中和解是当前不断变化的国际关系体系的一个基本特征。这两个国家实际上使彼此能够执行独立的外交政策,往往与西方直接对立。俄罗斯在军事、情报、外交等领域具有比较优势,中国是经济超级大国,双方具有一定程度的互补性。正如一些西方作家所预测的那样,中亚地区可能成为中俄竞争的热点。但在现实中,它却成为两国合作的摇篮,并影响着广泛的国际问题。上海合作组织已成为俄中在中亚地区合作的主要平台。印度和巴基斯坦于2017年加入上海合作组织后,上海合作组织不仅在中亚,而且在整个印太地区发展成为俄中合作机制。朝鲜半岛是莫斯科和北京在亚太地区的另一个重要合作领域。自2000年代中期以来,俄罗斯和中国也一直在努力提高其军事力量在该地区的互操作性。从技术上讲,他们已经为军事联盟做了很好的准备。然而,在政治上,他们似乎还没有为此做好准备。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Российско-китайское сотрудничество и безопасность в АТР
The authors argue that Russian-Chinese rapprochement is a fundamental feature of the current changing system of international relations. The two countries are effectively enabling each other to conduct independent foreign policies often in direct opposition to the West. There is a degree of complementarity between the two sides withRussiahaving comparative advantage in the military, intelligence and diplomatic fields andChinabeing an economic superpower. The region ofCentral Asiawhich, as some Western authors have expected, could become the hotpoint of the Russian Chinese rivalry. Yet in reality it became the cradle of the two countries’ cooperation which is now affecting a wide range of international issues. Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) has emerged as the main platform for Russian-Chinese cooperation inCentral Asia. AfterIndiaandPakistanjoined the SCO in 2017 it is evolving into a mechanism of Russian Chinese cooperation not only inCentral Asiabut in the Indo Pacific as a whole. The Korean peninsula is another important area of coordination betweenMoscowandBeijingin the Asia Pacific.RussiaandChinahave also been working on increasing interoperability of their military forces in the region since mid 2000s. Technically they have already done a great job for preparing ground for a military alliance. However, politically they do not appear to be ready for that yet.
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