{"title":"急性传染病可能发生时间的预测方法","authors":"Vybornov Yu.D.","doi":"10.26787/nydha-2618-8783-2022-7-3-60-69","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The purpose of the research is to determine with high accuracy the frequency of occurrence of infections and its use for forecasting. According to the dates of pathologies suffered by a person, the frequency of diseases of 2400 parents and children, men and women, was determined. To improve the accuracy of determining the frequency of diseases, astronomical units for fixing the time of occurrence of pathologies were used: 4 phases of the moon, 4 components of the declination of the moon, day. The hereditary periodicity of diseases (hereditary frequency of diseases) was revealed, which manifests itself in graphical and digital forms. hereditary frequency of diseases was used to predict the time of probable acute infectious diseases and their complications. The purpose of forecasting is timely prevention. 6 forecasting methods have been developed, 2 computer programs have been created in which 5 coordinate systems are used, more than 1600 computer forecasts have been made. With an error of + 1-4 days, 50% - 62% of diseases of children, women and men who fell ill on average 3 times a year and more often are predicted. In 2014, an application for invention No. 2014116101 “Method for simultaneous prediction of the time of probable acute human infectious diseases and the optimal date of vaccination” was registered. The conclusion of Rospatent experts: “. the invention can be implemented”, but “. practical applicability has not been confirmed”. Verification of the invention and its practical use proved to be an insoluble problem. Forecasts of the time of probable diseases are “warning signs” on our life path, allowing us to get sick less and live longer.","PeriodicalId":161741,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin \"Biomedicine and sociology\"","volume":"372 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"METHODS FOR PREDICTING THE TIME OF PROBABLE ACUTE INFECTIOUS DISEASES\",\"authors\":\"Vybornov Yu.D.\",\"doi\":\"10.26787/nydha-2618-8783-2022-7-3-60-69\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract. The purpose of the research is to determine with high accuracy the frequency of occurrence of infections and its use for forecasting. According to the dates of pathologies suffered by a person, the frequency of diseases of 2400 parents and children, men and women, was determined. To improve the accuracy of determining the frequency of diseases, astronomical units for fixing the time of occurrence of pathologies were used: 4 phases of the moon, 4 components of the declination of the moon, day. The hereditary periodicity of diseases (hereditary frequency of diseases) was revealed, which manifests itself in graphical and digital forms. hereditary frequency of diseases was used to predict the time of probable acute infectious diseases and their complications. The purpose of forecasting is timely prevention. 6 forecasting methods have been developed, 2 computer programs have been created in which 5 coordinate systems are used, more than 1600 computer forecasts have been made. With an error of + 1-4 days, 50% - 62% of diseases of children, women and men who fell ill on average 3 times a year and more often are predicted. In 2014, an application for invention No. 2014116101 “Method for simultaneous prediction of the time of probable acute human infectious diseases and the optimal date of vaccination” was registered. The conclusion of Rospatent experts: “. the invention can be implemented”, but “. practical applicability has not been confirmed”. Verification of the invention and its practical use proved to be an insoluble problem. Forecasts of the time of probable diseases are “warning signs” on our life path, allowing us to get sick less and live longer.\",\"PeriodicalId\":161741,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Bulletin \\\"Biomedicine and sociology\\\"\",\"volume\":\"372 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-09-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Bulletin \\\"Biomedicine and sociology\\\"\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.26787/nydha-2618-8783-2022-7-3-60-69\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Bulletin \"Biomedicine and sociology\"","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.26787/nydha-2618-8783-2022-7-3-60-69","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
METHODS FOR PREDICTING THE TIME OF PROBABLE ACUTE INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Abstract. The purpose of the research is to determine with high accuracy the frequency of occurrence of infections and its use for forecasting. According to the dates of pathologies suffered by a person, the frequency of diseases of 2400 parents and children, men and women, was determined. To improve the accuracy of determining the frequency of diseases, astronomical units for fixing the time of occurrence of pathologies were used: 4 phases of the moon, 4 components of the declination of the moon, day. The hereditary periodicity of diseases (hereditary frequency of diseases) was revealed, which manifests itself in graphical and digital forms. hereditary frequency of diseases was used to predict the time of probable acute infectious diseases and their complications. The purpose of forecasting is timely prevention. 6 forecasting methods have been developed, 2 computer programs have been created in which 5 coordinate systems are used, more than 1600 computer forecasts have been made. With an error of + 1-4 days, 50% - 62% of diseases of children, women and men who fell ill on average 3 times a year and more often are predicted. In 2014, an application for invention No. 2014116101 “Method for simultaneous prediction of the time of probable acute human infectious diseases and the optimal date of vaccination” was registered. The conclusion of Rospatent experts: “. the invention can be implemented”, but “. practical applicability has not been confirmed”. Verification of the invention and its practical use proved to be an insoluble problem. Forecasts of the time of probable diseases are “warning signs” on our life path, allowing us to get sick less and live longer.