新冠肺炎经济衰退期间中国股市的有效市场检验

Chao Sun, Yoonmin Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的-本文的目的是探讨中国股票市场(SSEC)在COVID-19衰退期间是否有效。最近的资产市场泡沫和破裂引发了人们对股市行为效率的兴趣。有效市场假说(EMH)受到新冠肺炎经济衰退的挑战。设计/方法/方法-基于有效市场假设,本研究将展示在COVID-19衰退期间中国股市效率计量经济学调查中采用的非参数检验结果。为了验证这一假设,我们使用增强Dickey-Fuller (ADF)检验、自相关函数(ACF)检验、Runs检验和方差比检验来评估SSEC的行为。研究结果:本文研究了中国股票市场(SSEC)的行为通过弱形式的有效市场随机漫步检验。根据方差比检验,某些SSEC投资者可能会经历异常回报,因为他们可能知道一些尚未反映在股票价格上的冲击。研究启示-在本文的管理中,本研究将为股票市场投资者在投资时提供帮助或为国家管理股票市场提供参考意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Efficient Market Testing of the Chinese Stock Market During the COVID-19 Recession
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is exploring whether Chinese stock market (SSEC) is effective during the COVID-19 recession. Recent asset market bubbles and bursts have generated interest in the efficiency of stock market behavior. Efficient market hypothesis (EMH) has been challenged by the COVID-19 recession. Design/Methodology/Approach – Based on Efficient market hypothesis, this research will present results of nonparametric tests employed in an econometric investigation of stock market efficiency in China during COVID-19 recession. To test this hypothesis, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, Autocorrelation Function (ACF) test, Runs test, and Variance Ratio Test were used to assess the behavior of the SSEC. Findings – This paper studies the Chinese stock market’s (SSEC) behavior passed weak form efficient market tests for random walk. According to Variance Ratio Test, a certain group of SSEC investors could experience abnormal returns since there is a possibility that they could know something about a shock that is not already reflected in the stock's price. Research Implications – In the management of this paper, this study will provide help for stock market investors when investing or provide reference significance for the state to manage the stock market.
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