{"title":"现行经济理论的缺陷及其消除","authors":"Е. D. Solozhentsev","doi":"10.32686/1812-5220-2021-18-5-10-27","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Th e paper analyzes the state and management of country’s economics. A tuple of event-driven optimal management as a method of artifi cial intelligence has been developed. Th e characteristics of event-driven quality management of associative and structurally complex systems and processes are given. Th e events and probabilities in the management of economics and the state are considered. A measure of invalidation has been introduced for parameters. Th e method of synthesis of the probability of an event based on expert information is presented. Th e necessity of orthogonalization of the logical function and the transition to the probabilistic function have been substantiated. Th e eff ect of repeated initiating events is considered. One-dimensional optimization of the system on a logical model instead of arithmetic multiparameter optimization is presented. Schemes for managing of development and exit of economics from stagnation are given. Th e tools for event-driven quality management of systems and processes are described. Th e analysis of the shortcomings of the existing economic theory and the possibility of their elimination is carried out.","PeriodicalId":391677,"journal":{"name":"Issues of Risk Analysis","volume":"201 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Shortcomings of the Existing Economic Theory and Their Elimination\",\"authors\":\"Е. D. Solozhentsev\",\"doi\":\"10.32686/1812-5220-2021-18-5-10-27\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Th e paper analyzes the state and management of country’s economics. A tuple of event-driven optimal management as a method of artifi cial intelligence has been developed. Th e characteristics of event-driven quality management of associative and structurally complex systems and processes are given. Th e events and probabilities in the management of economics and the state are considered. A measure of invalidation has been introduced for parameters. Th e method of synthesis of the probability of an event based on expert information is presented. Th e necessity of orthogonalization of the logical function and the transition to the probabilistic function have been substantiated. Th e eff ect of repeated initiating events is considered. One-dimensional optimization of the system on a logical model instead of arithmetic multiparameter optimization is presented. Schemes for managing of development and exit of economics from stagnation are given. Th e tools for event-driven quality management of systems and processes are described. Th e analysis of the shortcomings of the existing economic theory and the possibility of their elimination is carried out.\",\"PeriodicalId\":391677,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Issues of Risk Analysis\",\"volume\":\"201 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-10-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Issues of Risk Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2021-18-5-10-27\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Issues of Risk Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2021-18-5-10-27","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Shortcomings of the Existing Economic Theory and Their Elimination
Th e paper analyzes the state and management of country’s economics. A tuple of event-driven optimal management as a method of artifi cial intelligence has been developed. Th e characteristics of event-driven quality management of associative and structurally complex systems and processes are given. Th e events and probabilities in the management of economics and the state are considered. A measure of invalidation has been introduced for parameters. Th e method of synthesis of the probability of an event based on expert information is presented. Th e necessity of orthogonalization of the logical function and the transition to the probabilistic function have been substantiated. Th e eff ect of repeated initiating events is considered. One-dimensional optimization of the system on a logical model instead of arithmetic multiparameter optimization is presented. Schemes for managing of development and exit of economics from stagnation are given. Th e tools for event-driven quality management of systems and processes are described. Th e analysis of the shortcomings of the existing economic theory and the possibility of their elimination is carried out.