比特币相对于黄金和美元的波动性

Shalini Agnihotri, Vipul Goyal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究分析了比特币在印度市场作为废钞后替代货币模式的潜力。该研究调查了比特币作为未来货币相对于美元/印度卢比汇率和黄金作为商品的波动性和行为。本研究采用误差项最优拟合分布的GARCH族模型进行波动率计算。除GARCH外,还使用多元DCC GARCH进行相关估计。可以观察到,比特币介于货币和商品之间。与美元/印度卢比汇率等其他资产类别相比,它不会对好消息和坏消息做出不对称的反应。因此,它具有良好的潜力,在未来的风险厌恶投资者和投资组合多样化。比特币作为货币的潜力仍然是模糊的。本研究试图根据其波动性行为与资产类别的相似性对比特币进行分类。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bitcoin Volatility vis-a-vis Gold and Dollar
The present study analyses the potential of Bitcoin in Indian markets as an alternate mode of currency after the demonetisation. The study investigates the volatility and behaviour of Bitcoin as a potential for future currency vis-a-vis Dollar/INR exchange rate and gold as commodity. In the current study GARCH family models with best fit distribution for error term is used for volatility calculation. Apart from GARCH, multivariate DCC GARCH is used for correlation estimation. It is observed that Bitcoin lies somewhere in between currency and commodity. It does not respond asymmetrically to good and bad news as compared with other asset classes like USD/INR exchange rate. Hence, it holds a good potential in future for risk-averse investors and portfolio diversification. Potential of Bitcoin as currency is still ambiguous this study is an attempt to classify Bitcoin on the basis of its similarity to the asset classes in terms of its volatility behaviour.
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