加密货币对货币政策的潜在影响

Nenad Tomić, Violeta. Todorovic, Božidar Čakajac
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引用次数: 6

摘要

目前所有的加密货币都由私人实体控制,因此对货币体系的影响问题变得非常重要。私人实体对货币供应的自主决策可能会削弱中央银行有效实施货币政策的能力。本文的主题是替代加密货币形式对货币体系的影响。本文的目的是确定中央银行在支付交易中广泛使用加密货币的情况下成功实施货币政策的能力。将加密货币市场的情况与互联网发展的各个阶段以及其他电子支付系统市场的现状进行了比较。结论是,在目前的水平上,加密货币不具备危及传统货币体系的能力。考虑到这个市场的早期成熟,对未来可能的趋势作出了某些预测。在私人加密货币使用增长的情况下,央行可能会部分或完全失去对货币政策的影响力。拟议的解决方案是开发国家加密货币,以确保向中央银行保留铸币税,并防止私人加密货币进一步用于犯罪活动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The potential effects of cryptocurrencies on monetary policy
All current cryptocurrencies are controlled by private entities, so that the issue of impact on monetary system becomes very important. Autonomous decisions by private entities concerning the money supply could diminish the ability of central banks to implement monetary policy effectively. The subject of this paper is the influence of alternative cryptocurrency forms on the monetary system. The aim of this paper is to determine the ability of central banks to conduct monetary policy successfully in conditions of widespread use of cryptocurrencies in payment transactions. The situation in the cryptocurrency market is compared with the phases of Internet development and the current situation on other markets of electronic payment systems. It is concluded that cryptocurrencies do not have the capacity to endanger the traditional monetary system at the current level. Bearing in mind the early maturity of this market, certain predictions of possible future trends have been made. In the case of private cryptocurrency usage growth, central banks could partially or completely lose influence over monetary policy. The proposed solution is the development of national cryptocurrencies that would ensure the retention of seigniorage to central banks and the prevention of further use of private cryptocurrencies in criminal activities.
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