外国直接投资与尼日利亚经济增长

I. O. Olasehinde, Clement Folorunso Ajayi
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摘要

本文采用自回归分布滞后约束技术(ARDL)研究了1981年至2020年间尼日利亚外国直接投资(FDI)与经济增长(GDP)之间的关系。从研究结果来看,所采用的变量之间存在着长期的显著关系。外国直接投资(FDI)和实际汇率(REXCR)对经济增长(GDP)具有显著的短期和长期正向影响,这与Abu(2013)和John(2016)一致。而利率和贸易开放对经济增长的短期和长期影响均不显著。双格兰杰因果关系(Pairwise Granger Causality)显示了外国直接投资(FDI)与经济增长(GDP)之间的双向因果关系,证明了这两个变量之间的相互影响,如Mounir & Atef(2018)所支持的。因此,建议政府对外国直接投资采取新的方式,通过无息贷款和信贷支持,使其在短期和长期对经济增长产生更好的显著影响。出口促进法令应鼓励尼日利亚产品的充分出口,以促进贸易开放,对经济增长产生重大影响。为了经济稳定,货币当局应适当控制实际汇率(REXCR),以保持其在未来对尼日利亚经济的重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Direct Investment and Nigerian Economic Growth
This paper examined the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth (GDP) in Nigeria between 1981 and 2020, using Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bound technique (ARDL).   From the findings, there existed a long-run significant relationship among the variables employed.   Foreign direct investment (FDI) and real exchange rates (REXCR) showed positive significant short, and long-run impacts on economic growth (GDP) which is aligned with Abu (2013) and John (2016).  While interest rates and trade openness have insignificant short and long-run impacts on the economic growth.  The Pairwise Granger Causality exhibited bidirectional causality between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth (GDP), demonstrating the influence of these two variables on each other, as supported by Mounir & Atef (2018).   It is therefore recommended that government should introduce new approach to foreign direct investment by supporting with zero-interest loan and credit facilities for it to have better significant impacts on economic growth both in the short and long-run.  Adequate Exportation of Nigerian products should be encouraged by export-promotion decree in order to boost trade openness to have significant impacts on the economic growth.  Real Exchange rates (REXCR) should be properly controlled by monetary authorities for economic stability to maintain its significant impacts in future on Nigerian economy.
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