稳态模拟元模型的随机协同克里格

Xi Chen, S. Hemmati, Feng Yang
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在本文中,我们提出了随机共同克里格方法(SCK),用于根据在选定设计点进行的长、短模拟重复的输出近似稳态平均响应面。我们详细介绍了如何构建SCK元模型,执行参数估计,并通过SCK进行预测。我们在数值上证明,SCK有望提供更准确的预测结果,而无需额外的计算努力,只需通过模拟研究的实验设计从外部调整模拟运行长度和模拟的独立重复次数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stochastic co-kriging for steady-state simulation metamodeling
In this paper we present the stochastic co-kriging methodology (SCK) for approximating a steady-state mean response surface based on outputs from both long and short simulation replications performed at selected design points. We provide details on how to construct an SCK metamodel, perform parameter estimation, and make prediction via SCK. We demonstrate numerically that SCK holds the promise of providing more accurate prediction results at no additional computational effort by only externally adjusting the simulation runlength and number of independent replications of simulations through the experimental design of the simulation study.
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