{"title":"基于滑动灰色理论和加权马尔可夫链的降水预测","authors":"Yiqi Gui, Hwangkyu Choi","doi":"10.1109/CIACT.2018.8480150","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Precipitation forecasting has become an important issue in our life. The purpose of this paper is to predict the precipitation in Yangzhou using Grey Theory and Weighted Markov Chain to help people in industry and life. Firstly the original data are averaged sequence for GM (1,1) and Sliding Grey Weighted-Markov model is established. Then we apply the proposed model to predict the annual precipitation from 2011 to 2015, based on annual precipitation in Yangzhou during 1981- 2015. The results show that this paper proposes the model improving the accuracy of prediction.","PeriodicalId":358555,"journal":{"name":"2018 4th International Conference on Computational Intelligence & Communication Technology (CICT)","volume":"62 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prediction of Precipitation Based on Sliding Grey Theory and Weighted Markov Chain\",\"authors\":\"Yiqi Gui, Hwangkyu Choi\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/CIACT.2018.8480150\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Precipitation forecasting has become an important issue in our life. The purpose of this paper is to predict the precipitation in Yangzhou using Grey Theory and Weighted Markov Chain to help people in industry and life. Firstly the original data are averaged sequence for GM (1,1) and Sliding Grey Weighted-Markov model is established. Then we apply the proposed model to predict the annual precipitation from 2011 to 2015, based on annual precipitation in Yangzhou during 1981- 2015. The results show that this paper proposes the model improving the accuracy of prediction.\",\"PeriodicalId\":358555,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2018 4th International Conference on Computational Intelligence & Communication Technology (CICT)\",\"volume\":\"62 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-02-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2018 4th International Conference on Computational Intelligence & Communication Technology (CICT)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/CIACT.2018.8480150\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2018 4th International Conference on Computational Intelligence & Communication Technology (CICT)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CIACT.2018.8480150","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Prediction of Precipitation Based on Sliding Grey Theory and Weighted Markov Chain
Precipitation forecasting has become an important issue in our life. The purpose of this paper is to predict the precipitation in Yangzhou using Grey Theory and Weighted Markov Chain to help people in industry and life. Firstly the original data are averaged sequence for GM (1,1) and Sliding Grey Weighted-Markov model is established. Then we apply the proposed model to predict the annual precipitation from 2011 to 2015, based on annual precipitation in Yangzhou during 1981- 2015. The results show that this paper proposes the model improving the accuracy of prediction.