重述了估计威布尔分布参数的几种计算方法

B. T. Mangara
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引用次数: 2

摘要

通过计算方法,利用风速测量来确定站点的风力潜力,以便:1)评估风力数据,以检测可能降低数据质量的异常值(即虚假或不可信的值);2)利用统计程序获得特定时间段风的风升、威布尔分布参数等通用数据信息。该研究回顾了一些计算方法,用于估计风的威布尔分布参数,从而评估风力发电的潜力。估计威布尔分布参数的计算方法有:1)图解法;2)线性最小二乘法;最大似然估计;提出并讨论了矩量法。最后给出了应用上述计算方法计算特定时间段风速时间序列的威布尔分布参数的一个有意义的实例。利用MATLAB进行了威布尔分布参数估计的统计计算和分析。箱线图用于检查示例数据中的异常值(即远离大量数据的不寻常观察值)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Revisiting some computation methods for estimating the parameters of the Weibull Distribution
To employ the wind speed measurements to determine the wind power potential of sites by way of computation methods to: 1) appraise the wind data to detect outliers (that is, spurious or distrustful values) that have the potential to degrade the quality of the data; and 2) obtain generic data information utilizing statistical procedures, such as the wind rose and Weibull distribution parameters of the wind in a specific time period. The study revisits some computation methods for estimating the parameters of the Weibull distribution of the wind and thereby assess the potential for generating electricity from wind for a site. Computation methods for estimating the parameters of the Weibull Distribution namely: 1) the graphical method; 2) the linear least square method; 3) the maximum likelihood estimation; and 4) the methods of moments: are presented and discussed. A meaningful example on applying the preceding computation methods on how to compute the Weibull distribution parameters from a wind speed time series data for a specific time period is presented. The statistical computations and analysis for estimating the parameters of the Weibull Distribution were conducted using MATLAB. The boxplot was used to examine the example data for outliers (that is, unusual observations that are far removed from the mass of data).
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