乌克兰银行业的市场转型:透过“非经济”政策棱镜的观点

Drobiazko Anatoliy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作者从“非经济”政策的角度分析了乌克兰银行业发生的过程,这一理论目前正在现代经济学中讨论。发件人认为,这种政策的影响使乌克兰无法为其发展找到最佳战略,特别是在银行业的监管方面。造成这种情况的原因之一是缺乏公共行政,这是转型期经济国家的一般特点。事实证明,2014年后NBU对银行市场的“清算”从经济角度来看是极其不成功的。在2014-2016年期间,乌克兰经济因清理银行业的运动而遭受的损失的定量估计被提出和分析。通过“非经济”政策类型学的棱镜,作者考虑了乌克兰经济的非货币化过程和当前国家股票市场的问题。可以确定的是,在银行业改革期间,统治精英和司法部门采取了一系列不符合乌克兰具体特点的未经计算和考虑的决定,导致了破坏性后果,影响了该国经济的长期发展。除了经济损失(超过100亿美元)和在未来贷款下埋下定时炸弹外,“破产”还带来了社会损害,即最活跃的人群对政府官员提出的经济战略失去了信心。近年来,在2014年金融危机之后,没有一家银行机构注册,而银行的独立分支机构数量迅速减少,相应的就业岗位数量也在减少。作者的结论是,目前出售破产银行清算资产的做法将产生长期的负面影响,因为它使通过第三方以折扣价购买逾期债务的不良债权人受益,而最活跃的部分人口(存款人“200+”和中小企业)遭受损失,对银行失去信心。委员会指出,乌克兰选择“非经济”政策的主要原因是管理决定与实际的社会经济需要分离。因此,在这一领域发起的经济决策不仅造成了物质损失,而且阻碍了这个国家的文明进步。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Market transformations in the banking sector of Ukraine: a view through the prism of "non-economic" policy
The author analyzes the processes occurring in the banking sector of Ukraine from the standpoint of "non-economic" policy, the theory of which is currently being discussed in modern economics. According to the author, the impact of such a policy does not allow Ukraine to find the optimal strategy for its development, in particular regarding the regulation in the banking sector. One of the reasons for this is the shortage of public administration, which is generally characteristic of countries with economies in transition. It is proved that the NBU's "settlement" of the banking market after 2014 was extremely unsuccessful from an economic point of view. Quantitative estimates of losses suffered by the Ukrainian economy as a result of the campaign to clean up the banking sector during 2014-2016 are presented and analyzed. Through the prism of the typology of "non-economic" policy, the author considers the processes of demonetization of Ukraine's economy and current problems of the national stock market. It is determined that during the reforms in the banking sector, the adoption by the ruling elite, as well as the by the judiciary, of a series of uncalculated and unconsidered decisions poorly consistent with Ukraine’s specific features led to destructive consequences, which affect the long-term development of the country's economy. In addition to economic losses (more than 10 billion USD) and the planting of a ticking bomb under the future lending, the "bankfall" brought about social damage, which is the loss, by the most active segment of the population, of the confidence in the economic strategy proposed by government officials. In recent years, after the crisis of 2014, no banking institutions have been registered, while the number of banks’ separate branches is rapidly declining, along with the corresponding number of jobs. The author concludes that the current practice of selling liquidation assets of bankrupt banks will have a long-term negative effect, because it benefited bad creditors who bought their overdue debt at a discount through third parties, while the most active part of the population (depositors "200+" and small and medium businesses) suffered losses and lost confidence in banks. It is noted that the main reason for Ukraine to choose the "non-economic" policy is the separation of the management decisions from real socio-economic needs. As a result, the economic decisions initiated in this area not only cause material damage, but also hinder this country’s civilizational advancement.
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