区域可持续发展的概率熵概念

A. Tyrsin, A. A. Surina, A. Antonov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

可持续发展问题已成为当今社会的热点问题之一。然而,许多作者指出了概念的复杂性,即“可持续发展”概念包括“发展”和“可持续性”两个术语。与此同时,这些术语中的每一个都没有得到明确的处理。它导致了与具体系统有关的可持续发展的不同解释的出现。提出了系统可持续发展的新概念。根据这一概念,复杂多维系统的可持续发展将被理解为在保持多维系统可接受的风险水平的同时,存在随机性和自组织熵平衡变化趋势的动态。通过实例验证了所提概念的正确性。给出了1992 - 2017年叶卡捷琳堡和斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区矢量熵和多维风险的动态。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Probabilistic-Entropic Concept of Sustainable Development of the Example of Territories
Nowadays the problem of sustainable development became one of the topical issues. However, many authors point to conceptual complexity, which is that the concept “ sustainable development ” includes two terms “ development ” and “ sustainability. ” At the same time, each of these terms is treated not unambiguously. It leads to the emergence of different interpretations of sustainable development in relation to specific systems. A new concept of sustainable development of systems is proposed. According to this concept, the sustainable development of a complex multidimensional system will be understood as the dynamics consisting in the presence of a trend of balanced change in the entropies of randomness and self-organization while maintaining an acceptable risk level in multidimensional systems. The proposed concept is approved on practical examples. Dynamics of vector entropy and multidimensional risk of Yekaterinburg and Sverdlovsk regions in 1992 – 2017 is given.
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