财务困境预测的混合深度信念网络方法

Zineb Lanbouri, Saaid Achchab
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引用次数: 10

摘要

在2008年次贷危机之后,一个有效的金融危机预测(FDP)模型变得非常必要。许多研究工作试图使用统计或智能方法提供一个模型。在这方面,本文采用了一种融合深度学习和支持向量机的两阶段混合模型作为FDP建模方法。局部接受域是一种用于选择深度网络每层节点的技术。然后利用堆叠受限玻尔兹曼机形成深度信念网络作为预训练。然后,使用支持向量机进行分类。一项以法国公司为样本的实验提供了这种方法的准确细节。所提出的模型实际上提供了76.8%的正确分类实例的结果。从今往后,这项新技术可以在金融危机发生之前预防它。因此,投资者、管理人员、银行、决策者和其他人都可以从其重大影响中受益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A hybrid Deep belief network approach for Financial distress prediction
After the subprime crisis in 2008, an efficient Financial Distress Prediction (FDP) model has become necessary. Many research works have attempted to provide a model using statistical or intelligent methods. In this respect, this paper adopts a two-stage hybrid model that integrates Deep Learning and Support Vector Machine as a FDP modeling method. Local receptive fields is a technique used in order to select the nodes for each layer of our deep network. Then, stacked Restricted Boltzmann Machine is applied to form a Deep Belief Network as pre-training. Subsequently, Support Vector Machine follows for classification. An experiment over a sample of French firms offers accuracy details about this method. The proposed model actually provides a result of 76,8% instances that are correctly classified. Henceforth, the new technique could prevent Financial distress before it happens. As such, investors, managers, banks, decision makers and others could benefit from its significant impact.
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