一种机器学习方法,用于实时预测电池驱动汽车的未来电力需求

Somnath Pradhan, J. Roychaudhury
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引用次数: 3

摘要

对于任何使用电池的系统,电池管理系统正确预测电池的当前运行状态是至关重要的。电池驱动汽车等安全关键系统或任何其他救生系统的故障安全操作在很大程度上依赖于对电池寿命的早期预测。SOC或充电状态估计是预测电池运行时间的一种众所周知的方法。汽车协会采用各种方法来正确预测电池的运行时间或SOC,如卡尔曼滤波器,UKF和许多其他方法。本文提出了一种新的方法——回归法来预测汽车在道路上行驶时的未来电力需求。目的是确定,电池是否支持汽车在接下来的10秒内运行。电池的运行时间预测不仅取决于启动SOC,还取决于其他因素,如电池健康状况和道路轮廓。为了克服这类困难,提出并实现了自校正回归模型。在不同的道路上进行的实验,验证了汽车在即将到来的10秒内所需的功率。电池荷电状态估计的主要问题是确定电池的初始荷电状态。大量的实验需要计算初始SoC,这也可能随着电池的寿命而变化。这项工作的新颖之处在于,该方法通过更新其模型参数来预测未来的电力需求,而无需任何初始SoC计算。通过在模型中引入新的电流和电压样本来更新模型参数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A machine learning approach to predict future power demand in real-time for a battery operated car
For any battery-employed system, it is essential for the battery management system to correctly predict the present operational condition of the battery. The fail safe operation of a safety critical system like battery operated car or any other lifesaving systems are heavily depend upon earlier prediction of battery life. SOC or State-of-Charge estimation is one of the well-known method to predict the runtime of a battery. Various approaches are adapted by automotive society to correctly predict the runtime or the SOC of a battery like Kalman filter, UKF and many others. This paper proposes a new approach, the method of regression to predict the future power demand of a car while running on the road. The aim is to identify that, the battery will support the run of the car in next 10 seconds or not. The runtime prediction of a battery, not only depends upon the starting SOC but also depends upon other factors like battery health and road profile imposed. To overcome this type of difficulties the self-corrective regression model is proposed and implemented. Experiments performed on different road profiles, validate demanded power by the car in up-coming 10 seconds of its run. The major problem of SoC estimation is to determine initial SoC of a battery. Extensive experiments needed to calculate the initial SoC and which may also vary with the life of the battery. The novelty of this work shows, the method to predict the future power demand by updating its model parameters and without any initial SoC calculation. Model parameters are updated by the introducing new current and voltage sample in the model.
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