宏观经济因素对伦敦证券交易所股票市场的影响

M. Agwu, Areen Hakim Haydar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考察了宏观经济因素对伦敦证券交易所股票市场的影响。市场上存在成千上万的变量,这些变量可能会影响股票市场。实证研究表明,这些变量可以是利率、通货膨胀率/消费者价格指数、汇率、工业生产、国内生产总值、货币供应量、油价、失业率等。本研究选取消费者物价指数、利率和汇率作为经济指标,并对这些变量进行检验,看它们对伦敦证券交易所的影响。选择10年数据的方式可以捕捉到量化宽松和长期再融资计划等事件。这项研究让我们了解到,当欧元区其他风险因素渗透到市场中时,这些变量会如何影响股市。采用多元回归技术进行分析。估计的回归给出了这三个变量与股票市场有显著或不显著关系的输出。结果表明,消费者物价指数、利率和汇率对伦敦证券交易所的股票市场有影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Stock Market in the London Stock Exchange
The paper examined impact of macroeconomic factors on stock market in the London stock exchange. There are thousands of variables that exist in the market which could affect stock market. The empirical studies showed that these variables could be interest rate, inflation rate/consumer price index, exchange rate, industrial production, gross domestic product, money supply, oil prices, unemployment rate etc. The study in consideration selects consumer price index, interest rate, and exchange rate as indicator of economy and tests these variables to see their impact on London stock exchange. The data for 10 years is selected in such a way that it could capture events such as quantitative easing and long-term refinancing programs. The research gave insight of how these variables can affect the stock market when other euro-zone risk factors penetrate in the market. The analysis is performed by using multiple regression technique. The estimated regression gives the output that how these three variables have a significant or insignificant relation with the stock market. The results indicated that consumer price index, interest rate, and exchange rate have an impact on stock market in the London stock exchange.
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