罗马尼亚乡村性与共同农业政策补贴影响的初步定量分析

N. Galluzzo
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在文献中,许多研究试图通过定量方法评估与乡村性相关的定量变量之间的基本关系。这种研究的障碍在于无法定量地评估变量之间的因果关系。本研究的核心目的是通过定量方法评估2007年至2016年罗马尼亚各县的主要因果关系,以确定影响乡村性指数的变量。本研究采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型,遵循自举方法。研究结果突出了共同农业政策第二支柱所分配的财政补贴的显著和积极作用,特别是与罗马尼亚所有地区的农村指数有关的有利于处境不利农村地区的支付。在共同农业政策第一支柱框架内分配的一些非耦合支付被发现对作物种植没有影响。从这项研究中得出的结论是,农村发展方案提供的财政支持是减少罗马尼亚农场和农业地区社会经济边缘化的根本刺激因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A PRELIMINARY QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF RURALITY IN ROMANIA AND THE IMPACT OF COMMON AGRICULTURAL POLICY SUBSIDIES
In the literature, many studies have sought to assess through a quantitative approach the principle relationships between quantitative variables correlated to rurality. The impediment to such studies arises from the impossibility of quantitatively assessing cause-effect relationships between variables. The core purpose of this research was to assess by a quantitative approach the main cause-effect relationships in counties of Romania over the years 2007 to 2016, in order to identify variables affecting the rurality index. The study used Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modelling following the bootstrap methodology. The research outcomes highlighted the notable and positive role of financial subsidies allocated by the second pillar of the Common Agricultural Policy and specifically, the payments in favour of disadvantaged rural areas in relation to the rurality index across all regions of Romania. Some decoupled payments allocated within the framework of the first pillar of the CAP were found to have had no effect on crop farming. Drawing conclusions from this research, the financial support disbursed by the rural development programme is a fundamental stimulus to the reduction of socioeconomic marginalisation in Romanian farms and farming areas.
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