项目风险的定性特征评价

G. Omarov, Y. Shildibekov, A. Omarova, A. E. Tashtamysheva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文结合哈萨克斯坦某银行项目融资的实践,探讨了风险的定性特征。识别并提出需要在项目评估期间仔细分析的重要风险因素。分类和风险排序分为三大类:(1)宏观经济与行业;(2)竞争地位;(3)管理评价。第一组包括行业的风险,评估当前和未来的状态,暴露于技术风险,资本密集度。第二组确定公司的成本水平和优化,与竞争对手进行比较的指标;实力产品的市场地位。评估公司的销售水平、稳定性;多样化的产品,买家和供应商进行专家的方式。第三组根据以下因素揭示公司的管理水平:行业经验、教育程度、声誉;商业和项目的成功;对股东和公司管理层之间互动系统的评估。定性特征和定量特征是企业投资项目分析和评价的决策工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of Qualitative Characteristics of Project Risks
The article considers qualitative characteristics of risks based on the practice of financing projects in a Kazakh bank. Identified and proposed significant risk factors that require careful analysis during the project appraisal. Classification and risk ranking are combined into three main groups: (1) Macroeconomics and the Industry, (2) Competitive Position and (3) Management Evaluation. The first group includes the risks of the industry with an assessment of the current and prospective state, exposure to technological risks, capital intensity. The second group determines the level and optimization of the cost of the company, a comparison with the indicators of competitors; strength of market positions of products. Evaluation of the company's sales level, its stability; diversification of products, buyers and suppliers are conducted expert way. The third group reveals the level of management of the company on the basis of factors: experience in this industry, education, reputation; the success of doing business and projects; an assessment of the interaction system between say shareholders and the company's management. Qualitative characteristics together with quantitative serve as a tool for decision-making in the analysis and evaluation of investment projects of business.
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