乌克兰产业结构优化模型

L. Sozanskyy
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引用次数: 4

摘要

以总增加值(GVA)占工业总产出的比重和工业占总产出的比重为指标,对乌克兰和欧盟成员国工业结构优势进行了比较分析。对工业活动(采矿和采石、加工业、电力、煤气、蒸汽和空调、供水、污水和废物管理)也作了类似的分析。研究发现,乌克兰工业的主要问题是效率低下,在欧盟成员国中GVA占产出的比例仅排在第28位。效率最低的是加工业,其GVA在产出中的份额仅为19.63%。以上显示了材料和能源成分的主导地位,这证实了国内工业特别是加工工业的原材料取向。通过对波兰工业结构调整经验的研究,论证了波兰工业部门(按工业活动类型)优化的条件和方向,以实现从原始型经济向创新型经济的转变。借助发达的经济模型和数学模型,按照提高盈利水平和生产技术水平的标准,构建了乌克兰工业产出和GVA的优化结构。关于乌克兰工业部门结构调整的拟议措施:减少石煤和褐煤的开采,增加原油和天然气的开采;通过减少热能的比例来提高电力、燃气、蒸汽和空调供应的效率,同时增加替代能源、核能和水力的数量和份额;关税自由化和成本降低以及供水、污水和废物管理的组织改革。确定乌克兰新工业政策的关键优先事项应该是制造业的发展,为此提出了一些国家政策措施。其中包括提高国有资本在高新技术产业中的份额,使用选择性补贴杠杆,以及对非收费原材料的税收优惠和政府订单。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Models of optimization of the structure of industry in Ukraine
A comparative analysis of the structural advantages of the industry in Ukraine and the EU member states has been carried out on the indicators of the share of gross value added (GVA) in the industrial output and the share of industry in total output. A similar analysis has been done in terms of industrial activities (mining and quarrying, processing industry, electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning, water supply, sewage, and waste management). It is found that the key problem of Ukrainian industry is its low efficiency - the 28th place among the EU member states in terms of the GVA share in the output. The least effective are the processing industries, in which the share of GVA in the output is only 19.63%. The above shows the domination of the material and energy components, which confirms the raw material orientation of domestic industry, in particular, in processing industry. Based on the study of Poland's experience in restructuring the industry, the conditions and directions for optimization in the industrial sector (by types of industrial activities) are justified in order to move from the raw-type economy to innovation. With the help of developed economic and mathematical models, the author constructs optimized structures of output and GVA in the Ukrainian industry in accordance with the criteria of increasing the level of profitability and production technology. Proposed measures on structural adjustment of Ukraine's industrial sector: reducing the extraction of stone and brown coal with increased extraction of crude oil and natural gas; increasing the efficiency of electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply by way of reducing the share of heat energy, with a simultaneous increase in the volumes and share of alternative, nuclear and hydro power; tariff liberalization and cost reduction and organizational reform of water supply, sewage, and waste management. It is determined that the key priority of the new industrial policy in Ukraine should be the development of manufacturing industries, for which a number of state policy measures are proposed. Among them are the increase in the share of state capital in high-tech and high-tech industries, the use of selective subsidy levers, and preferential taxation and government orders for non-tolling raw materials.
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