失业率和银行利率对股票价格指数变化的有效回归预测

Berlian Al Kindhi, Rista Anisa Dewi, Noviyanti Santoso, Akhmad Yuzfa Salvian Idris, Afrizandy Bayu Yudhistira, Felya Mayora Putri
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引用次数: 0

摘要

投资是在一定时期内储蓄或放置资金的活动,希望这些资金的储存能带来投资价值的收益或增加。投资可以是股票的形式。股票是公司价值所有权的证明。影响因素是综合股价指数。综合股票价格指数是印尼证券交易所使用的股票市场指数之一。作为股票价格变动的指标,该指数包括印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的所有优先股的价格变动。在本研究中,我们分析了综合股价指数与利率和失业率之间的关系。多元线性回归是简单线性回归的延续。当简单线性回归只提供一个自变量(x)和一个因变量(y)时,多元线性回归弥补了简单线性回归存在多个自变量和一个因变量(y)时的不足。从我们的检验结果来看,失业率与综合股票价格指数呈负相关,而信贷利率与综合股票价格指数呈正相关。使用输入数据的预测值接近真实值,即95%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of the Unemployment and Bank Interest Rates on Changes in the Stock Price Index with Efficient Regression
Investment is the activity of saving or placing funds in a certain period with the hope that the storage will cause a gain or increase in investment value. Investments can be in the form of shares. Stock is proof of ownership of the value of a company. The influencing factors are the composite stock price index. The composite stock price index is one of the stock market indices used by the Indonesia Stock Exchange. As an indicator of stock price movements, this index includes price movements of all preferred stocks listed on the Indonesian stock exchange. In this study, we analyze the relationship between the composite stock price index with interest rates and the unemployment rate. Multiple linear regression is a continuation of simple linear regression. When simple linear regression provides only one independent variable (x) and one dependent variable (y). Multiple linear regression to cover the weakness of simple linear regression when there are more than one independent variable and one dependent variable (y). From our test results, the unemployment rate with the composite stock price index has a negative correlation, while the credit interest rate with the composite stock price index has a positive correlation, and predictions with the input data have a value close to the true value, which is 95%.
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