不同发电方式下电力负荷预测的概念漂移场景

Abdul Azeem, I. Ismail, Syed Muslim Jameel, Fakhizan Romlie, K. U. Danyaro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电能是日常运转的基本必需品。因此,需要对其进行高效、智能化的管理。然而,电力公司需要快速有效的决策,这取决于有效的负荷预测模型。现有的负荷预测模型在需要快速决策的动态环境中已经过时;基于在线数据流。电气环境下的在线数据流由不同的生成模式组成,并由模式、参数和模式的不同变化(概念漂移)组成。因此,本研究探讨了不同发电方式下电力负荷预测中可能出现的概念漂移情况,并提供了一个解决这一问题的框架。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Concept Drift Scenarios in Electrical Load Forecasting with Different Generation Modalities
The electrical energy is basic necessity for daily operations. Therefore, its efficient and intelligent management is required. However, the utilities require rapid and efficient decision-making which depends on efficient load forecasting models. The existing load forecasting models stand obsolete in the dynamic environments, where rapid decisions are required; based on online data streams. The online data streams in electrical environment comprise of different generation modalities and consist of different variations (concept drift) in pattern, parameter, and modalities. Therefore, this study explores the possible concept drift scenarios in electrical load forecasting with different generation modalities and provide a framework to resolve the issue.
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