尼泊尔气候变化家庭脆弱性评估:指数法的应用

R. Bista
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究基于642户家庭的数据,构建了气候脆弱性理论指数,涵盖适应性、敏感性和暴露性,研究了尼泊尔西部山区苏尔赫特Sot Khola地下水流域的气候变率大小与家庭脆弱性之间的关系。其结果为Sot Khola地下水流域集水区家庭气候脆弱性指数(CVI),充分证明了集水区不同位置和海拔地区家庭气候变率和脆弱性的异质性。在所有集群中,所有家庭在不同程度上都是脆弱的。家庭具有异质性适应能力,其中约40%的家庭适应能力较低,表明家庭可能处于弱势,尽管60%的家庭具有较高的适应能力。由于社会经济地位和粮食不足,大多数家庭(52.7%)对气候引发的灾害(山体滑坡和洪水)很敏感。但约有47.4%的家庭不那么敏感。由于家庭的位置远离洪水和山体滑坡斑块,大约4.4%的家庭受影响程度较高,但95.6%的家庭受影响程度较低。气候脆弱性指数综合指数显示,50%的中等及以上脆弱家庭受到气候引发的灾害:滑坡和洪水的影响。此外,还增加了17.0%的中等弱势家庭。因此,总体而言,大约67%的家庭处于从中等脆弱性到极度脆弱性的不同程度。剩下的(33%)是最不脆弱的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of Climate Change induced Household Vulnerability in Nepal: Application of Index Method
This study examines the relationship between the magnitude of climate variability and household vulnerability in the catchment areas of Sot Khola sub-water basin in the western mountainous Surkhet, Nepal by constructing a theoretical climate vulnerability index based on household-level data collected from 642 Household covering adaptive, sensitive, and exposure. Its result is the climate vulnerability index (CVI) of households living in Sot Khola sub water basin’s catchment areas, which provides sufficient evidence of heterogeneity in climate variability and vulnerability of households across location and altitude of the catchment areas. In all clusters, all households are vulnerable at a different level. Households have the heterogeneous adaptive capacity in which about 40 percent of households have less adaptive capacity indicating potentially vulnerable households, although 60 percent of households have higher adaptive capacity. The majority of households (52.7%) are sensitive to Climate-induced disasters: landslides and floods due to their socio-economic status and food insufficiency. But about 47.4 percent of households are less sensitive. Since households’ locations are far from flood and landslides patches, about 4.4 percent of households are higher exposure but 95.6 percent of households are in less exposure.  The composite index of climate vulnerability index shows 50 percent moderate and higher vulnerable household from climate-induced disaster: landslide and flood. It was supplemented by additional 17.0 percent moderately vulnerable households. Thus, in total, about 67 percent of household is vulnerable at a different level from moderate to extremely higher vulnerable.  The remaining (33 percent) is least vulnerable.
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