亚齐省食用动物蛋白用肉鸡鸡蛋产量和需要量预测

S. Suryana, D. Sukandar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全国范围内,肉鸡蛋鸡的产量继续增加,但亚齐省肉鸡蛋鸡的产量仍然很低,无法满足人民的需求。本研究旨在分析亚齐省肉鸡作为动物蛋白来源的蛋产量和需求预测。这项研究是在亚齐省进行的,该省由23个县/市组成。本研究采用描述性定量方法叙述从二手资料中获得的一系列时间序列结果。对亚齐省纯种鸡的数量、产量和蛋类需求进行了为期3年(2022-2024年)的预测分析。与预测结果(2022年、2023年、2024年)相比,亚齐省纯种鸡产蛋量有下降趋势。肉鸡产蛋量低于往年8649.0吨/年的平均产量。从2022年到2024年,纯种鸡蛋的需求量将从每年31008吨增加到32083吨。根据亚齐省纯种鸡蛋产量和人口需求的预测结果,仅凭鸡蛋消费不足以满足动物蛋白需求。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting of Production and Requirements Broiler Chicken Eggs for Consumption Animal Protein in Aceh Province
Nationally, production of broiler eggs chicken continues to increase, however production of broiler eggs chicken in Aceh Province is still low to meet the needs of the people. This study aimed to analyze the forecasting of egg production and demand for broiler chickens in Aceh Province as a source of animal protein contribution. The study was conducted in Aceh Province, which consists of 23 districts/cities. This study used descriptive quantitative methods in narrating a series of time series results obtained from secondary data. A forecasting analysis was carried out on the population, production and egg needs of purebred chickens in Aceh Province for a period of 3 years (2022-2024). There was tendency to decrease from forecasting results (2022, 2023, 2024) on the egg production of purebred chickens in Aceh Province. The egg production of broiler chickens was below the average production value in previous years, which was 8649.0 tons/year. There was a tendency to increase the demand for purebred chicken eggs from 31,008 tons per year to 32,083 tons/year for 2022 to 2024. Based on forecasting results on production and population needs for purebred chicken eggs in Aceh Province, it is not sufficient for the consumption of chicken eggs as a contribution to meet the needs of animal protein.
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