贸易战结束后,中美关系何去何从?创新,中国的新未来

Keqin Chen, Kun Zhu, Yixin Meng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2018年3月22日,美国总统特朗普对中国进口商品加征关税后,中美贸易战爆发。因此,两国的经济状况都受到了影响,但同时中国产品价值的增长也增加了贸易战的必然性。本研究采用了基于世界银行和CEIC收集的30年数据的实证评估和分析。为了分析两国的经济数据,了解两国的GDP和中美经济问题,使用了ARIMA时间序列模型。为了保证ARIMA时间序列模型的稳定性,进行了ADF检验。根据调查结果,我们得出结论:中美合作的利益大于对抗和冲突的利益。同时综合分析,我们认为中美两国未来的发展取决于中美合作。在中美合作共赢的前提下,中国的自主创新是一条合适的道路。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
After the trade war, where the path leads to Sino-US relations?: Innovation, China's new future
The initiation of the Sino-US trade war twitches on March 22, 2018 after US president Trump imposed tariffs on Chinese imports. Due to this the economic condition of both countries have been impacted but at the same time growth of China's product value have also increased inevitability of trade war. This study employs the empirical evaluation and analysis based on the 30 years of data collected from the World Bank and CEIC. To analyze the economic data to know the GDP of both countries and Sino-US economic problems the ARIMA time series model is used. To ensure the stability of the ARIMA time series model the ADF test is done. Based on the results, we came in verdict that interests of cooperation between China and the US are greater than the interests of confrontation and conflict. At the same time from the comprehensive analysis, we alleged that future development of China and US depends on Sino-US cooperation. China's independent innovation is a suitable path under the premise of win-win cooperation between China and US.
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