基于遗传算法和小波神经网络的能源消耗预测模型分析

Hui Zhao, Rong Liu, Zhuoqun Zhao, Chuanli Fan
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引用次数: 17

摘要

本文从能源效率出发,利用大量统计数据对企业过程能耗进行了系统分析,建立了基于小波神经网络遗传算法的能耗预测模型。本文利用具有自然进化规律的遗传算法对小波神经网络的权值和扩张位移尺度进行了先验优化训练。部分取代了小波框架神经网络的梯度下降法,该方法只对单个梯度方向进行参数优化,克服了单个梯度下降法容易陷入局部极小值和引起振荡效应的缺点。仿真结果表明了该预测模型的有效性,对于解决一般数学模型难以描述的过程能耗多因素定量分析问题是可行的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Energy Consumption Prediction Model Based on Genetic Algorithm and Wavelet Neural Network
This paper analyzed the enterprise process energy consumption systematically with a lot of statistic data starting from energy efficiency, and established the energy consumption prediction model based on genetic algorithm of wavelet neural network (GA-WNN). This paper made previous optimization training with genetic algorithm, which have feature of natural evolution regularity, to the weights and dilation-shift scale of wavelet neural network. Partly replaced gradient descent method of wavelet frame neural network where parameters optimization only with a single gradient direction, overcame the shortcoming that easily into the local minimum and cause oscillation effect of the single gradient descent method. Simulation results showed the effectiveness of the forecasting model, and it is feasible for solving the process energy consumption multi-factor quantitative analysis problem which general mathematical model is difficult to describe.
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