应用BOW-TIE方法进行煤矿风险性分析

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摘要

乌克兰的煤炭行业仍然是最危险的行业之一。它的特点是各种各样的事故和紧急情况、高水平的工伤和职业发病率。改善生产安全的目的不仅是减少受伤和职业发病率(高概率和无关紧要的情况)的危险,而且是减少相对较少发生的地雷事故,这些事故的特点是后果严重得多。有必要开发和使用一种风险分析方法,该方法将考虑到可能发生事故的所有方面和过程,并将详细预测其后果的消除。乌克兰在评估和管理紧急情况风险方面仍然没有得到全面的法律和方法支持,而且在这些问题上适用于乌克兰情况的国际标准并不总是得到实际应用。煤矿的风险评估,特别是气候学分析,是一个相当复杂的过程,在信息不足的情况下,工作方法的使用是相关的,熟悉专家评估方法的专家也不够多,因此,国外知名的风险评估方法并没有在乌克兰的煤炭工业中得到充分的应用。其中一种方法是BOW-TIE图,它可以简单而直观地评估危险从发生危险的地方向造成不良后果的事件的进展情况,以确定需要采取紧急措施的阶段、这些措施的性质和可靠性。本文介绍了在气象风险分析过程中,通过构建不同细节层次的BOW-TIE图、危险推进路线、建立风险控制障碍、“头脑风暴”等方法,将风险降低到可接受的水平。给出了使用领结图的实例。在国内实践中使用国外的发展情况表明,这种办法很有前途,有必要继续进行这项工作,以便在乌克兰的煤炭企业更广泛地采用这种方法。关键词:煤矿,气象风险,危害,不良后果,BOW-TIE法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Using the BOW-TIE method in analysis of aerological risks of coal mines
The coal industry in Ukraine remains one of the most dangerous industries. It is characterized by a wide range of accidents and emergencies, a high level of industrial injuries and occupational morbidity. The aim of improving production safety is not only to reduce the risk of injury and occupational morbidity (cases of high probability and insignificant), but also mine accidents, which occur relatively rarely, but are characterized by much more significant consequences. It is necessary to develop and use a risk analysis method that would take into account all aspects of the occurrence and course of a possible accident and would forecast in detail the elimination of its consequences. Ukraine still does not have an comprehensive legal and methodological support for assessing and managing emergency risks, and international standards on these issues, adapted to Ukrainian conditions, are not always brought to practical use. Risk assessment, especially aerological analysis, of a coal mine is a rather complicated process associated with the use of working methods in conditions of insufficient information, there are not enough specialists familiar with the methods of expert assessment, therefore, risk assessment methods well-known abroad are not used in the coal industry of Ukraine in full measure. One of these methods is the BOW-TIE diagram, which allows to simply and visually assess the advancing of a hazard from the place of the risk occurrence to the event that causes undesirable consequences, to determine the stages at which it is necessary to take emergency measures, the nature and reliability of such measures. The article presents the methods for constructing the BOW-TIE diagrams with different level of detail, routes of hazards advancing, establishment of risk control barriers, “brainstorming” during the analysis of aerological risks in order to reduce them to the acceptable level. Examples of using the BOW-TIE diagram are given. The use of foreign developments in domestic practice indicates the promising nature of this approach and the need to continue the work with the aim of wider introduction of this method at coal enterprises in Ukraine. Key words: coal mine, aerological risk, hazard, unwanted outcome, BOW-TIE method.
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