计算机仿真中由输入建模引起的偏差检测

Lucy E. Morgan, B. Nelson, A. Titman, D. Worthington
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引用次数: 9

摘要

由于输入建模造成的偏差几乎总是被认为可以忽略和忽略。众所周知,增加可用于建模输入过程的实际数据量会导致这种形式的偏差比由于输入不确定性而导致的方差减少得更快。然而,这并不意味着当考虑由输入建模引起的仿真性能测量误差时,偏差是无关紧要的。在本文中,我们提出了一种响应面方法来估计仿真模型中的偏差,以及一种诊断测试,用于识别由于输入模型的大小而引起的偏差,该模型具有控制功率,这将与从业者有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Detecting bias due to input modelling in computer simulation
Bias due to input modelling is almost always assumed negligible and ignored. It is known that increasing the amount of real-world data available for modelling input processes causes this form of bias to decrease faster than the variance due to input uncertainty. However, this does not mean bias is irrelevant when considering the error in a simulation performance measure caused by input modelling. In this paper we present a response surface approach to bias estimation in simulation models along with a diagnostic test for identifying, with controlled power, bias due to input modelling of a size that would be concerning to a practitioner.
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