基于动态模型和遗传算法的短期电能消耗预测

K. Eskaf, I. El-Mohr
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引用次数: 0

摘要

住宅和商业建筑约占世界总用电量的70%。许多研究人员正在努力降低建筑的电能消耗。这项工作涉及管理短期电能消耗,试图在当前消耗的基础上预测近期(6个月)的电量消耗。本文的目标是利用遗传算法来确定未来的电能消耗。与其他方法不同的是,特征提取过程是在电能消耗时间序列上实现的,以提取知识。遗传算法以可接受的精度生成电能消耗的未来值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting the Short Term Electrical Energy Consumption using Dynamic Model and Genetic Algorithm
Residential and commercial buildings accounted for about 70% of the total electricity consumption in the world. Many researchers are working hard to reduce building electrical energy consumption. This work is concerned with managing short term electrical energy consumption by trying to predict this consumption in the near future (6 months) on the basis of the current consumption.The goal of this paper is to determine the future electrical energy consumption using a Genetic Algorithm. Unlike other approaches, which involved in questioning the users, feature extraction procedures were implemented on electrical energy consumption time series in order to extract knowledge. The Genetic Algorithm generates the future value of electrical energy consumption with an accepted accuracy.
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