管理国家债务和确保偿债能力:印度的经验

C. Rangarajan, A. Prasad
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文提出了政策制定者对管理国家债务和确保偿债能力所进行的改革的看法。虽然印度经济的持续高增长率在减轻债务利息负担和确保债务不会以爆炸性轨迹增长方面发挥了作用,但实施了重大改革以扭转财政下滑,制定财政责任规则以确保持续调整,并朝着以市场为基础的国家赤字融资迈进。财政整顿和机构改革方面的认真努力,使各国得以走上财政调整的道路。尽管如此,疲弱的全球增长前景以及全球大宗商品和燃料价格进一步上涨的风险可能会造成这样一种困境:一方面需要压缩支出以确保财政可持续性,另一方面又需要反周期支出以促进增长,并对财政调整进程构成挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Managing State Debt and Ensuring Solvency: The Indian Experience
The paper presents the policymakers’ perspective on the reforms undertaken to manage states’ debt and ensure solvency. While the sustained high growth rates of the Indian economy played a part in alleviating the interest burden on debt and ensuring that the debt does not grow in an explosive trajectory, major reforms were implemented to reverse the fiscal decline, develop fiscal responsibility rules to ensure sustained adjustment, and move toward a market-based financing of state deficits. The serious efforts at fiscal consolidation and institutional reforms have enabled states to set on the path toward fiscal correction. Nonetheless, weak global growth prospects and the risk of a further rise in global commodity and fuel prices could generate the dilemma of needing to compress expenditures for ensuring fiscal sustainability while simultaneously needing counter-cyclical spending to boost growth, and challenge the fiscal adjustment process.
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