家庭财务是否影响政治进程?住房危机期间选民投票率的证据

W. McCartney
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引用次数: 9

摘要

我使用一种新颖的个人水平面板数据集来检验房价下跌对选民参与的影响。与“愤怒选民假说”的预测相反,我发现当地房价每下跌10%,抵押贷款房主的平均参与率就会下降1.6个百分点。与金融危机通道一致,房价下跌对租房者没有影响,对高杠杆家庭的影响尤其严重。我的发现与金融困境与通过选民参与运作的不平等之间存在反馈循环是一致的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does Household Finance Affect the Political Process? Evidence from Voter Turnout During a Housing Crisis
I examine the effect of house price declines on voter participation using a novel person-level panel data set. Contrary to what the “angry voter hypothesis” predicts, I find that a 10% decline in local house prices decreases the participation rate of the average mortgaged homeowner by 1.6 percentage points. Consistent with a financial distress channel, house price declines have no effects on renters and particularly severe effects on highly leveraged households. My findings are consistent with the existence of a feedback loop between financial distress and inequality operating through voter participation.
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