中国制造业产能利用率测度研究

Yan Song, Shuang Yao, Jin-gui Jiang
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引用次数: 4

摘要

产能利用率是衡量产能和过剩产能的核心因素,反映了资源配置和经济发展的状况。本文对现有的容量和容量利用的定义进行了概括和总结,并在物理容量和经济容量定义的基础上进一步分析了两种容量利用的度量方法。在此基础上,估算了不同规模假设下的容量利用率,并通过对比分析了物理容量视角下的射线容量利用率。最后,对中国12个制造业部门的产能利用率进行了实证分析。比较两种测量方法的差异。同时,还讨论了平均成本、规模效率和过剩产能的产出弹性。研究发现,一是中国大部分制造业处于产能过剩状态,尤其是煤炭、石油和核燃料、基础金属制造业、食品、烟草,其中化工行业更为严重;第二,在物理容量定义下,大多数行业可以实现最大容量,实现较高的容量利用率。只有一小部分行业的生产能力略有过剩。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The research of capacity utilization measurement on manufacturing industry in China
Capacity utilization, as the core factor of estimating capacity and excess production capacity, indicates the resource allocation and the economic progress. This paper generalized and summarized existing definitions of capacity and capacity utilization, further analyzed measurements of two capacity utilization based on physical and economic capacity definitions. Furthermore, estimated the capacity utilization under different scale hypothesis, in addition, analyzed the ray capacity utilization under the physical capacity perspective by comparison. Finally, empirically analyzed the capacity utilization of 12 segment manufacturing industries in China. Compared the differences of two measurement methods. Meanwhile, output elasticity of average cost, scale efficiency and excess production capacity are also discussed. Study found that, first, a majority of manufacturing industries are in the state of overcapacity in China, especially coal, oil and nuclear fuel, basic metal manufacturing industry, food, tobacco, where chemical industry is more serious; second, under the view of physical capacity definition, most industries could realize the maximum capacity, achieve a higher capacity utilization. Only a little part industries have a slightly excess production capacity.
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