与气候变化相关的损失和损害评估方法综述

Nguyen Trung Thang, Nguyen Thi Ngoc Anh, Tran Quy Trung, Dao Canh Tung
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化造成的损失和损害(L&D)被定义为在实施缓解和适应措施后不可避免/不可避免的损失。随着气候变化继续变得复杂和不可预测,L&D将会增加,尤其是像越南这样高度脆弱的国家。因此,对气候变化引起的L&D进行评估是非常重要和必要的。本文对国内外应用的L&D评价方法进行了综述。评估结果表明,灾害与发展评估既有减少灾害风险(DRR)的方法,也有适应气候变化(CCA)的方法,并分为定性和定量评估或事前和事后评估。总体而言,自然灾害造成的损失和损失评估方法已经得到了发展和指导,而基于气候变化适应方法的损失和损失评估方法尚未得到广泛发展。目前,最流行的方法仍然是事后评价,未来L&D的评价/预测模型尚未在实践中得到广泛应用。经济型L&D的定量评价多用于事后评价,而定性评价多用于事前评价,多用于非经济型L&D。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Overview of Methods for Assessing Loss and Damage Associated with Climate Change
Loss and damage (L&D) caused by climate change (CC) has been defined as inevitable/unavoidable losses after the implementation of mitigation and adaptation measures. As climate change continue to be complicated and unpredictable, L&D will increase, especially for highly vulnerable countries like Vietnam. Therefore, the assessment of L&D caused by climate change is very important and necessary. This article presents the results of an overview of L&D assessment methods applied in the world. The review showed that, L&D assessment have either disaster risk reduction (DRR) or climate change adaptation (CCA) approach and is classified in qualitative and quantitative assessments or ex-ante and ex-post assessment. In general, the methods of assessing L&D caused by natural disasters have been developed and guided, whereas the methods of assessing L&D by climate change adaptation approach have not been popularly developed. Currently, the most popular method is still ex-post assessment while the models for evaluating/forecasting L&D in the future have not been widely applied in practice. The quantitative assessment of economic L&D is often applied for the ex-post assessment, while the qualitative assessment is often used for ex-ante assessment and applied to non-economic L&D.
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