可再生技术的采用与宏观经济

Bernardino Adão, B. Narajabad, Ted Loch-Temzelides
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引用次数: 9

摘要

我们在一个动态一般均衡模型中研究了可再生能源生产企业对新技术的适应,其中能源是生产商品的一种投入。能源可以来自化石或可再生资源。两者都需要使用资本,这也是生产最终产品所需要的。可再生能源公司可以投资于提高其资本存量的生产率。实际的改善是随机的,并受到溢出效应的影响。可再生能源企业提高生产率需要“废弃”部分现有资本。再加上溢出效应,这导致在提高可再生能源资本生产率方面的投资不足。在存在环境外部性的情况下,可以通过对化石燃料征收庇古税来实现最优分配,同时还可以通过一项政策来促进适应新的可再生技术,该政策通过对公司按其报废比例征税来促进适应新的可再生技术。我们分析的一个含义是,在进步快、现有资本不久就会过时的地方,对新技术进行大量投资并不是最佳选择。我们使用世界经济数据校准模型,以研究各种拟议的税收/补贴方案对经济增长的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Renewable Technology Adoption and the Macroeconomy
We study the adaptation of new technologies by renewable energy-producing firms in a dynamic general equilibrium model where energy is an input in the production of goods. Energy can come from fossil or renewable sources. Both require the use of capital, which is also needed in the production of final goods. Renewable energy firms can invest in improving the productivity of their capital stock. The actual improvement is random and subject to spillovers. Productivity improvements by renewable firms require "scrapping" some of their existing capital. Together with spill-overs, this leads to under-investment in improving the productivity of renewable energy capital. In the presence of environmental externalities, the optimal allocation can be implemented through a Pigouvian tax on fossil fuel, together with a policy which promotes adaptation of new renewable technologies by taxing firms proportional to their under-scrapping. An implication of our analysis is that it is not optimal to make large investments in new technologies where progress is fast and where current capital becomes obsolete before long. We calibrate the model using world-economy data in order to study the implications of various proposed tax/subsidy scenarios for economic growth.
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