基于遗传算法优化的基于函数神经网络的径向网络流量预测模型

Cong Wang, Xiaoxia Zhang, Han Yan, Linlin Zheng
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引用次数: 17

摘要

传统的流量预测模型难以体现互联网的非线性特性。神经网络和遗传算法是现代算法的代表。针对BP神经网络模型易于局部收敛的特点,提出遗传算法优化基于径向函数网络(GA-RBF)的权值和偏置值,建立了相对于p步、超前于l步的互联网流量预测模型,克服了传统预测算法模型和BP神经网络算法的局限性。为了证明该算法的有效性和合理性,我们利用GA-RBF神经网络对中国教育网主要端口流量进行了预测。通过分析,我们发现GA-RBF预测效果明显优于BP神经网络。研究结果表明,利用GA-RBF人工神经网络进行互联网流量预测是一种可行、有效的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Internet Traffic Forecasting Model Adopting Radical Based on Function Neural Network Optimized by Genetic Algorithm
Traditional traffic forecasting model is hard to show non-linear characteristic of Internet. Neural networks and genetic algorithm are representatives of modern algorithms. Considering that BP neural networks model is easy to take local convergence, this paper put forward genetic algorithm optimizing weight and bias value of radial based function network(GA-RBF), made a Internet traffic forecasting model which is relative with p steps and ahead of l steps, overcame the limitations of traditional forecasting algorithm model and BP neural networks algorithm. To prove the effectiveness and rationality of this algorithm, we forecasted the China education network main port traffic with GA-RBF neural networks. According to the analysis, we find that the GA-RBF forecasting effect is obviously better than BP neural networks. The conclusion shows that it is one of available and effective ways to use GA-RBF artificial neural networks to do Internet traffic forecast.
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